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Tonawanda Town, NY 14217 Weather

Today: Mostly Sunny, high 66°F, low 50°F. Hourly and 10-day forecast from the National Weather Service. Times are local (EDT).

Tonawanda Town, NY 14217 current weather

60°F

Mostly Clear

Forecast for this hour. No recent report from a nearby station.

H 66° / L 50°

  • No rain expected in the next 12 hours

No recent station report. NWS hourly forecast updated 10/28/2026, 1:18 PM PT

Hourly forecast

NWS, updated 10/28/2026, 1:18 PM PT

  1. Now60°
  2. 8 PM56°
  3. 9 PM54°
  4. 10 PM53°
  5. 11 PM53°
  6. 12 AM52°Thu
  7. 1 AM52°
  8. 2 AM52°
  9. 3 AM52°
  10. 4 AM53°
  11. 5 AM53°
  12. 6 AM53°
  13. 7 AM54°
  14. 8 AM56°
  15. 9 AM59°
  16. 10 AM63°
  17. 11 AM67°
  18. 12 PM69°
  19. 1 PM70°
  20. 2 PM71°
  21. 3 PM70°
  22. 4 PM70°10%
  23. 5 PM70°28%
  24. 6 PM67°34%
  25. 7 PM66°38%
  26. 8 PM64°54%
  27. 9 PM63°54%
  28. 10 PM60°54%
  29. 11 PM60°25%
  30. 12 AM59°25%Fri
  31. 1 AM58°25%
  32. 2 AM56°
  33. 3 AM54°
  34. 4 AM51°
  35. 5 AM48°
  36. 6 AM46°
  37. 7 AM45°
  38. 8 AM45°
  39. 9 AM47°
  40. 10 AM51°
  41. 11 AM54°
  42. 12 PM56°
  43. 1 PM57°
  44. 2 PM58°
  45. 3 PM59°
  46. 4 PM59°
  47. 5 PM58°
  48. 6 PM57°

10-day forecast

Tap a day for details

  • Today10/28Low 50°High 66°

    This Afternoon: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66. Southwest wind around 5 mph.

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 50. South wind 2 to 7 mph.

    Mostly Sunny
  • Thu10/2954% chance of precipitationLow 45°High 71°

    Thursday: A chance of rain showers after 5pm. Sunny, with a high near 71. Southwest wind 7 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Thursday Night: A chance of rain showers before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. West wind 6 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Sunny then Chance Rain Showers
  • Fri10/30Low 37°High 59°

    Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 59. Northwest wind 6 to 10 mph.

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 37. Northwest wind 0 to 7 mph.

    Mostly Sunny
  • Sat10/31Low 42°High 59°

    Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 59. West wind 0 to 3 mph.

    Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. East wind around 3 mph.

    Mostly Sunny
  • Sun11/1Low 47°High 65°

    Sunday: Partly sunny, with a high near 65.

    Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47.

    Partly Sunny
  • Mon11/212% chance of precipitationLow 48°High 65°

    Monday: Partly sunny, with a high near 65.

    Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48.

    Partly Sunny
  • Tue11/326% chance of precipitationLow 50°High 65°

    Tuesday: A slight chance of rain showers after 7am. Partly sunny, with a high near 65.

    Tuesday Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50.

    Slight Chance Rain Showers
  • Wed11/4Model blend40% chance of precipitationLow 51°High 65°

    Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, slight chance of rain. High near 65°. Low that night near 51°. About 0.07 in of precipitation, with about 0.2 in of snow.

    Computer model guidance from the NOAA National Blend of Models, not a forecast written by NWS forecasters. Expect changes this far out.

  • Thu11/5Model blend57% chance of precipitationLow 45°High 63°

    Thursday: Chance of rain. High near 63°. Low that night near 45°. About 0.44 in of precipitation, with about 0.1 in of snow.

    Computer model guidance from the NOAA National Blend of Models, not a forecast written by NWS forecasters. Expect changes this far out.

  • Fri11/6Model blend40% chance of precipitationLow 40°High 58°

    Friday: Chance of rain. High near 58°. Low that night near 40°. About 0.11 in of precipitation.

    Computer model guidance from the NOAA National Blend of Models, not a forecast written by NWS forecasters. Expect changes this far out.

Forecast for 42.977, -78.878 from the NWS BUF office, updated 10/28/2026, 1:18 PM PT · Official forecast on weather.gov

Days 8 to 10: NOAA National Blend of Models, station KBUF (Buffalo-Niagara Intl, 8 mi), model run 10/28/2026, 4:00 PM EDT

Hazardous weather outlookIssued 10/28/2026, 2:21 AM EDT

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake Ontario, western and north central New York.

Day one

Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

Days two through seven

Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

Spotter information statement

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

Forecaster's discussionIssued 10/28/2026, 1:52 PM EDT

What has changed

No significant changes with this update.

Key messages

1)Record warmth possible on Thursday.

2)A brief shot of light rain Thursday night. Dry weather then resumes and lasts through the weekend.

Discussion

KEY MESSAGE 1: Record warmth possible on Thursday.

An expansive surface ridge over the area will begin to drift off to our east today. While this occurs,return southerly flow will develop on the western flank over the region which will aid in boosting temperatures back 'well' above normal, especially on Thursday. With the expected warmth, some records may fall or be tied, especially at Rochester (KROC) and in the Genesee Valley due to downslope flow and dry soils (see Climate section below). Additionally, winds will strengthening and then become quite breezy (gusts to 35 mph) on Thursday, strongest winds will likely be northeast of lake Erie. Given the cooler lake waters and expected SW flow, Max T's may just fall short of record territory at KBUF/KIAG. Despite that, more gorgeous fall conditions will continue areawide through Thursday.

KEY MESSAGE 2: A brief shot of light rain Thursday night. Dry weather then resumes and lasts through the weekend.

A weak cold front nears the region Thursday which will bring a chance for some showers Thursday evening and night. In terms of precipitation, amounts look very meager with only a few hundredths of an inch at best possible across Western and Central NY. Given the streak of dry weather, some fire weather concerns will remain due to the dryness of fuels and leaf litter. Luckily, winds and RH levels won't reach close to critical levels through the weekend. See Fire weather section below for more details. High pressure return over the Great Lakes Friday and then sticks around through the weekend.

Aviation

VFR across the TAF sites this afternoon with VFR to persist through the TAF period. A weak lake breeze may briefly impact some sites with north to northwest winds of 5 knots or less this afternoon, though for the most part, winds will favor a south to southwest direction into tonight, 5 to 7 knots. Winds will increase out of the south to southwest late Thursday morning and early afternoon, 10 to 12 knots with periodic gusts of 20 to 22 knots.

Outlook:

Thursday night through Monday: Non-VFR possible with rain showers along a cold front Thursday evening and overnight. Isolated gusts up to 30 knots are possible Thursday mid-to late afternoon ahead of the front, especially northeast of Lake Erie. Non- VFR may persist in lingering low ceilings into Friday. VFR then favored through Monday.

Marine

Surface high pressure over the region will slowly slip off to our east this afternoon but will continue to support generally light winds and minimal wave action.

Thereafter, southwest winds will strengthen on the western flank of the departed ridge Thursday ahead of the approaching cold front. Small Craft conditions are likely to develop across eastern portions of Lake Erie, and western portions of Lake America. Small Craft conditions will then spread eastward across Lake America Friday as winds shift to the west. Waves will build to 2-4 ft across Lake Erie over this period, and 3-5 ft across Lake America. Improving marine conditions this weekend with weaker winds.

Fire weather

No measurable rain has fallen for nearly two weeks (10 days) in most of our region. The extended period of dry weather and sunshine has cured fine fuels and leaf litter, bringing some increase in wildfire risk. Luckily, the forecast does not show a significant overlap of strong, gusty winds and low relative humidity values through this weekend.

A weak cold front and weather disturbance should generate light and periodic rain showers Thursday eve-night, but resulting rainfall amounts should be less than 0.10". Dry weather will then follow Friday and last through the weekend. As a result, fine fuels and leaf litter should remain very dry.

Climate

Here are the record high temperatures for Thursday, October 30th.

Buffalo, NY 74 (1971)

Rochester, NY 76 (1896)

Watertown, NY 73 (1955)

Watches, warnings and advisories

NY: None. MARINE: None.

From the National Weather Service; may be delayed. Not for life-safety decisions. In an emergency, call 911.

Next 6 hours

NWS hourly forecast

  1. Now60°Mostly Clear1%2 mph
  2. 8 PM56°Mostly Clear1%2 mph
  3. 9 PM54°Mostly Clear1%2 mph
  4. 10 PM53°Mostly Clear1%3 mph
  5. 11 PM53°Mostly Clear1%3 mph
  6. 12 AM52°Clear3%5 mph

Hourly details

Next 7 days: temperature chart, feels like, rain and snow amounts, sky cover, wind and gustsShow

Radar and satellite

National radar

NEXRAD (last 50 min) and GOES

Latest

Frequently asked questions

What is the high temperature today in Tonawanda Town, NY 14217?
The National Weather Service forecast for this afternoon calls for a high near 66°F. Mostly Sunny.
Will it rain in Tonawanda Town, NY 14217 in the next 24 hours?
The NWS hourly forecast does not show any hour with a 50% or higher chance of precipitation in the next 24 hours.
What is the 10-day forecast for Tonawanda Town, NY 14217?
The first 7 days come from the National Weather Service forecast. Days 8 to 10 (Nov 4 to Nov 6) come from the NOAA National Blend of Models, with highs of 58°F to 65°F and up to a 57% chance of precipitation. Model guidance this far out often changes.
What time is sunrise and sunset in Tonawanda Town, NY 14217 today?
Sunrise is about 7:45 AM EDT and sunset is about 6:13 PM EDT (calculated for the center of the area, within a few minutes).
What is the normal October weather in Tonawanda Town, NY 14217?
At N Tonawanda, the 1991 to 2020 normal high in October is 61°F and the normal low is 40°F.

Rain and snow totals

Next 3 days, NWS forecast grid

Rain (liquid)
0.07 in
Snow
0.00 in
Ice
0.00 in

Nearby hazards

New York hazards

Severe storm and flash flood outlooks, expected rain, river flooding and wildfires near this area

  • Severe storm outlook today:No thunderstorm risk area over this locationOutlook map
  • Excessive rainfall outlook (flash flood risk):Could not check the Weather Prediction Center outlook right now.
  • River gauges within 40 miles at or above flood stage: None reported
  • Active wildfires within 50 miles: None reported

Drought

By county

Erie County, week of 10/20/2026

96% of the county is abnormally dry. No drought.

Beaches nearby

EPA BEACON beaches

Sun and moon

Local time, center of the area

Sunrise
7:45 AM
Sunset
6:13 PM
Daylight
10 hr 28 min
Moon
Waning Gibbous 91% lit
First light (civil dawn)
7:16 AM
Last light (civil dusk)
6:42 PM
Moonrise
7:30 PM
Moonset
10:55 AM

Normal October weather

Climate

Normal October high 61°, low 40°, precipitation 3.94 in for the month. 1991 to 2020 normals at N Tonawanda, 6 mi away.

Other places nearby

Data sources

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About this data

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