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Tonawanda Town, NY Weather
Current conditions, hourly and 10-day forecast from the National Weather Service. Times are local (EDT).
Tonawanda Town, NY current weather
57°F
Cloudy
H 65° / L 36°Feels like 57°
4° cooler than yesterday at this time
No rain expected in the next 12 hours
Observed at Buffalo, Greater Buffalo International Airport (8.1 mi away), 10/26/2026, 5:05 PM EDT
Hourly forecast
NWS, updated 3:57 PM
10-day forecast
Tap a day for details
Today10/26Low 36°High 65°
This Afternoon: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. Northwest wind around 6 mph.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. North wind around 6 mph.
Mostly CloudyTue10/27Low 39°High 55°
Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 55. Northeast wind around 7 mph.
Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 39. East wind 2 to 7 mph.
Mostly SunnyWed10/28Low 53°High 67°
Wednesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 67. South wind around 3 mph.
Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. South wind 2 to 7 mph.
Partly SunnyThu10/2943% chance of precipitationLow 54°High 69°
Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 69. Southwest wind 7 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Thursday Night: A chance of rain showers after 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. West wind 7 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Mostly SunnyFri10/3026% chance of precipitationLow 44°High 64°
Friday: A chance of rain showers before 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 64. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 44.
Chance Rain Showers then Partly SunnySat10/31Low 47°High 64°
Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 64.
Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47.
Partly SunnySun11/139% chance of precipitationLow 53°High 66°
Sunday: A slight chance of rain showers after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 66.
Sunday Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53.
Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain ShowersMon11/2Model blend30% chance of precipitationLow 48°High 65°
Monday: Mostly cloudy, slight chance of rain. High near 65°. Low that night near 48°. About 0.02 in of precipitation.
Computer model guidance from the NOAA National Blend of Models, not a forecast written by NWS forecasters. Expect changes this far out.
Tue11/3Model blend39% chance of precipitationLow 45°High 63°
Tuesday: Chance of rain. High near 63°. Low that night near 45°. About 0.03 in of precipitation.
Computer model guidance from the NOAA National Blend of Models, not a forecast written by NWS forecasters. Expect changes this far out.
Wed11/4Model blend33% chance of precipitationLow 44°High 61°
Wednesday: Chance of rain. High near 61°. Low that night near 44°. About 0.21 in of precipitation.
Computer model guidance from the NOAA National Blend of Models, not a forecast written by NWS forecasters. Expect changes this far out.
Forecast for 42.986, -78.884 from the NWS BUF office, updated 10/26/2026, 3:57 PM EDT · Official forecast on weather.gov
Days 8 to 10: NOAA National Blend of Models, station KBUF (Buffalo-Niagara Intl, 8 mi), model run 10/26/2026, 4:00 PM EDT
Hazardous weather outlookIssued 10/26/2026, 1:32 AM EDT
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western and north central New York.
Day one
Today and tonight.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
Days two through seven
Tuesday through Sunday.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf
Forecaster's discussionIssued 10/26/2026, 1:59 PM EDT
What has changed
Little to no changes this afternoon.
Key messages
1) Mostly dry weather pattern continues, with small chances for rain Thursday night and late this weekend. Near record warmth Thursday.
Discussion
KEY MESSAGE 1: Mostly dry weather pattern continues, with small chances for rain Thursday night and late this weekend. Near record warmth Thursday.
A surface ridge will continue to affect our region this week as embedded high pressure center moves from northern ON toward northern New England,while the ridge aloft builds from the Upper Midwest to the eastern Great Lakes. Dry weather is expected as stabilizing subsidence accompanies the ridge.
Decent CAA and a sharp decrease in low level thicknesses will lead to near or just below normal conditions tomorrow, with highs mainly in the 50s. Thereafter, heights build Wednesday and Thursday with temperatures approaching near record levels. Highs on Wednesday will reach the mid to upper 60, and upper 60s to lower 70s Thursday ahead of the next frontal system.
A weak cold front should sweep eastward through our region Thursday night. Periodic rain showers are possible along and ahead of this front Thursday night due to moist isentropic ascent ahead of a shortwave trough axis aloft and low-level convergence/ascent along the front coinciding with sufficient low-level moisture. Well above normal conditions will continue behind this system into the weekend, with dry conditions returning until late Sunday.
Aviation
A cold front currently moving through Western/Central NY will bring some lower ceilings to the region the rest of the afternoon and through early tonight. MVFR conditions have developed across the North Country, and will spread to other area terminals at times this afternoon and evening, but conditions should predominately be VFR. Clouds will slowly scatter out overnight, but will rebuild tomorrow morning along the southern lakeshores as winds come around to the NE.
There may be sufficient cloud breaks and weak surface winds for localized MVFR or worse steam fog to develop early tomorrow morning across the inland river and lake valleys.
Outlook:
Tuesday Night through Wednesday: Dry weather and mainly VFR expected. Localized fog with MVFR or worse conditions will be possible across the inland river and lake valleys Wednesday morning.
Wednesday night through Saturday: Dry weather and mainly VFR expected. However, periodic rain showers with MVFR are possible Thursday night into Friday morning.
Marine
Small Craft conditions will develop tonight from Hamlin Beach to Mexico Bay through early tomorrow morning as winds increase behind a cold front. N to NE winds of 15-20 kts will develop over Lake America, strongest over the eastern part of the lake, with waves building to 3-5 ft. Winds over Lake Erie will remain 10-15 kts with waves 2-3 ft. Winds will quickly subside by mid morning tomorrow as winds continue to veer to the east.
On Thursday, SW'erly winds should flirt with 20 knots at times over eastern Lake Erie and Lake America as the gradient tightens ahead of the next cold front. Thus, occasional 4 footers should materialize on both lakes. Winds relax Friday and into Saturday to be less than 15 kts, while waves drop below 3 ft on Friday.
Fire weather
No measurable rain has fallen almost two weeks across the region. The extended period of dry weather and sunshine has cured fine fuels and leaf litter, bringing some increase in wildfire risk. Luckily, the forecast does not show a significant overlap of gusty winds and low RHs through the weekend.
A weak cold front may bring a few light showers Thursday night, but the chance of a wetting rain is very low. Dry weather will continue to prevail through at least Saturday outside of these two brief periods of scattered light showers, keeping fine fuels and leaf litter very dry.
Watches, warnings and advisories
NY: None. MARINE: Small Craft Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 8 AM EDT Tuesday for LOZ043-044.
From the National Weather Service; may be delayed. Not for life-safety decisions. In an emergency, call 911.
Next 6 hours
NWS hourly forecast
- Now63°Mostly Cloudy2%6 mph
- 6 PM60°Cloudy2%6 mph
- 7 PM57°Cloudy1%6 mph
- 8 PM55°Cloudy3%6 mph
- 9 PM53°Mostly Cloudy4%6 mph
- 10 PM52°Mostly Cloudy4%6 mph
Hourly details
Next 7 days: temperature chart, feels like, rain and snow amounts, sky cover, wind and gustsShowHide
NWS hourly forecast updated 10/26/2026, 3:57 PM EDT
Observed today
Since midnight, vs yesterday and normal
Today's high so far is 8° above the normal of 57° and 1° warmer than yesterday's high.
- High so far
- 64°
- 8° above normal
- Low so far
- 46°
- Normal low 37°
- Precipitation
- 0.00 in
- Since midnight
- Yesterday
- High 63° · Low 39° · Precip 0.00 in
- Normal for today
- High 57° · Low 37°
Observed at Buffalo, Greater Buffalo International Airport (KBUF) since midnight local time, through 5:05 PM. Station reports are preliminary and not quality controlled. Normals are estimated from 1991 to 2020 monthly normals at N Tonawanda.
Radar and satellite
National radarNEXRAD (last 50 min) and GOES
Nearby hazards
New York hazardsSevere storm and flash flood outlooks, expected rain, river flooding and wildfires near this area
- Severe storm outlook today:No thunderstorm risk area over this locationOutlook map
- Excessive rainfall outlook (flash flood risk):Could not check the Weather Prediction Center outlook right now.
- River gauges within 40 miles at or above flood stage: None reported
- Active wildfires within 50 miles: None reported
Drought
By countyErie County, week of 10/20/2026
96% of the county is abnormally dry. No drought.
Beaches nearby
EPA BEACON beaches
- Woodlawn Beach State Park13.8 mi
Frequently asked questions
- What is the weather in Tonawanda Town, NY right now?
- The latest observation from Buffalo, Greater Buffalo International Airport was 57°F and cloudy, reported at 10/26/2026, 5:05 PM EDT.
- What is the high temperature today in Tonawanda Town, NY?
- The National Weather Service forecast for this afternoon calls for a high near 65°F. Mostly Cloudy.
- Will it rain in Tonawanda Town, NY in the next 24 hours?
- The NWS hourly forecast does not show any hour with a 50% or higher chance of precipitation in the next 24 hours.
- What is the 10-day forecast for Tonawanda Town, NY?
- The first 7 days come from the National Weather Service forecast. Days 8 to 10 (Nov 2 to Nov 4) come from the NOAA National Blend of Models, with highs of 61°F to 65°F and up to a 39% chance of precipitation. Model guidance this far out often changes.
- What time is sunrise and sunset in Tonawanda Town, NY today?
- Sunrise is about 7:42 AM EDT and sunset is about 6:16 PM EDT (calculated for the center of the area, within a few minutes).
- What is the normal October weather in Tonawanda Town, NY?
- At N Tonawanda, the 1991 to 2020 normal high in October is 61°F and the normal low is 40°F.
Sun and moon
Local time, center of the area
- Sunrise
- 7:42 AM
- Sunset
- 6:16 PM
- Daylight
- 10 hr 33 min
- Moon
- Full Moon 99% lit
- First light (civil dawn)
- 7:13 AM
- Last light (civil dusk)
- 6:45 PM
- Moonrise
- 6:05 PM
- Moonset
- 8:19 AM
Normal October weather
ClimateNormal October high 61°, low 40°, precipitation 3.94 in for the month. 1991 to 2020 normals at N Tonawanda, 5 mi away.
Other places nearby
Data sources
- National Weather Service APINOAA
- National Blend of Models (NBM) text guidanceNOAA National Weather Service
- Convective Outlooks and Storm ReportsNOAA Storm Prediction Center
- Excessive Rainfall Outlook and Quantitative Precipitation ForecastsNOAA Weather Prediction Center
- National Water Prediction ServiceNOAA National Weather Service
- WFIGS Current Wildland Fire IncidentsNational Interagency Fire Center
- UV Index Forecast (Envirofacts)U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and NOAA
- AirNowU.S. Environmental Protection Agency
- NWS HeatRisk (experimental)NOAA National Weather Service
- U.S. Drought MonitorNational Drought Mitigation Center, USDA and NOAA
- BEACON 2.0 Beach Advisory and Closing On-line NotificationU.S. Environmental Protection Agency
- U.S. Climate Normals 1991-2020NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information
- Tides & Currents (CO-OPS API)NOAA Center for Operational Oceanographic Products and Services
- NEXRAD radar tilesIowa Environmental Mesonet, Iowa State University
- GOES-East and GOES-West GeoColor imageryNOAA NESDIS Center for Satellite Applications and Research
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About this data
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