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Surprise, AZ 85378 Weather
Today: Showers And Thunderstorms, high 74°F, low 62°F. Hourly and 10-day forecast from the National Weather Service. Times are local (MST).
Surprise, AZ 85378 current weather
71°F
Showers And Thunderstorms
Forecast for this hour. No recent report from a nearby station.
H 74° / L 62°
No recent station report. NWS hourly forecast updated 10/30/2026, 11:48 AM PT
3 active alerts
From the National Weather Service for this forecast zone or county
Severe2Significant threat to life or property
- Flood WatchAguila Valley; Northwest Valley; Tonopah Desert; Gila Bend; Buckeye/Avondale; Cave Creek/New River and 14 moreUntil Mon 11/02/2026, 5:00 AM MST · NWS Phoenix AZ
- Flood WatchAguila Valley; Northwest Valley; Tonopah Desert; Gila Bend; Buckeye/Avondale; Cave Creek/New River and 14 moreUntil Fri 10/30/2026, 6:00 PM MST · NWS Phoenix AZ
Minor1Minimal to no known threat
Hourly forecast
NWS, updated 10/30/2026, 11:48 AM PT
10-day forecast
Tap a day for details
Today10/3098% chance of precipitationLow 62°High 74°
This Afternoon: Showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy. High near 74, with temperatures falling to around 68 in the afternoon. East northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Northeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Showers And ThunderstormsSat10/3185% chance of precipitationLow 64°High 78°
Saturday: Partly sunny. High near 78, with temperatures falling to around 75 in the afternoon. East wind around 5 mph. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Saturday Night: Rain showers between 9pm and 2am, then showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 64. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Partly SunnySun11/199% chance of precipitationLow 59°High 71°
Sunday: Rain showers before 11am, then showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 71. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
Sunday Night: Showers and thunderstorms before 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. South southeast wind 0 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Showers And ThunderstormsMon11/214% chance of precipitationLow 55°High 75°
Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 55. North northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly SunnyTue11/3Low 55°High 77°
Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 77. North northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 55. North northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
SunnyWed11/4Low 54°High 77°
Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 77. East wind 0 to 5 mph.
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 54. North northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
SunnyThu11/516% chance of precipitationLow 55°High 77°
Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 77. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Thursday Night: A slight chance of rain showers after 5am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. North wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
SunnyFri11/6Model blend22% chance of precipitationLow 56°High 76°
Friday: Partly cloudy. High near 76°. Low that night near 56°. About 0.02 in of precipitation.
Computer model guidance from the NOAA National Blend of Models, not a forecast written by NWS forecasters. Expect changes this far out.
Sat11/7Model blend14% chance of precipitationLow 55°High 75°
Saturday: Mostly sunny. High near 75°. Low that night near 55°.
Computer model guidance from the NOAA National Blend of Models, not a forecast written by NWS forecasters. Expect changes this far out.
Sun11/8Model blend13% chance of precipitationLow 55°High 76°
Sunday: Mostly sunny. High near 76°. Low that night near 55°. About 0.01 in of precipitation.
Computer model guidance from the NOAA National Blend of Models, not a forecast written by NWS forecasters. Expect changes this far out.
Forecast for 33.645, -112.312 from the NWS PSR office, updated 10/30/2026, 11:48 AM PT · Official forecast on weather.gov
Days 8 to 10: NOAA National Blend of Models, station KGEU (Glendale Muni, 8 mi), model run 10/30/2026, 7:00 AM MST
From the National Weather Service; may be delayed. Not for life-safety decisions. In an emergency, call 911.
Next 6 hours
NWS hourly forecast
- Now71°Showers And Thunderstorms98%5 mph
- 1 PM70°Showers And Thunderstorms91%5 mph
- 2 PM71°Showers And Thunderstorms Likely63%5 mph
- 3 PM69°Chance Showers And Thunderstorms43%5 mph
- 4 PM69°Chance Showers And Thunderstorms38%5 mph
- 5 PM68°Chance Showers And Thunderstorms38%5 mph
Hourly details
Next 7 days: temperature chart, feels like, rain and snow amounts, sky cover, wind and gustsShowHide
Radar and satellite
National radarNEXRAD (up to 24 hours) and GOES
Frequently asked questions
- What is the high temperature today in Surprise, AZ 85378?
- The National Weather Service forecast for this afternoon calls for a high near 74°F. Showers And Thunderstorms.
- Will it rain in Surprise, AZ 85378 in the next 24 hours?
- The hourly forecast shows a 98% chance of precipitation around 10/30/2026, 12:00 PM MST.
- What is the 10-day forecast for Surprise, AZ 85378?
- The first 7 days come from the National Weather Service forecast. Days 8 to 10 (Nov 6 to Nov 8) come from the NOAA National Blend of Models, with highs of 75°F to 76°F. Model guidance this far out often changes.
- What time is sunrise and sunset in Surprise, AZ 85378 today?
- Sunrise is about 6:46 AM MST and sunset is about 5:38 PM MST (calculated for the center of the area, within a few minutes).
- What is the normal October weather in Surprise, AZ 85378?
- At Youngtown, the 1991 to 2020 normal high in October is 87°F and the normal low is 60°F.
Nearby hazards
Arizona hazardsSevere storm and flash flood outlooks, expected rain, river flooding and wildfires near this area
- Severe storm outlook today:Marginal risk (level 1 of 5)Outlook map
- Excessive rainfall outlook (flash flood risk):Could not check the Weather Prediction Center outlook right now.
- River gauges within 40 miles at or above flood stage:
- Minor flooding (forecast)Cave Creek near Cave Creek26.5 mi
- Active wildfires within 50 miles: None reported
UV and air quality forecast
EPA and AirNow
- AQI forecast today (Phoenix)
- 43GoodPM2.5
- AQI forecast tomorrow (Phoenix)
- 45GoodPM2.5
Drought
By countyMaricopa County, week of 10/27/2026
79% of the county is in moderate drought or worse.
Sun and moon
Local time, center of the area
- Sunrise
- 6:46 AM
- Sunset
- 5:38 PM
- Daylight
- 10 hr 52 min
- Moon
- Waning Gibbous 77% lit
- First light (civil dawn)
- 6:21 AM
- Last light (civil dusk)
- 6:04 PM
- Moonrise
- 9:37 PM
- Moonset
- 11:51 AM
Normal October weather
ClimateNormal October high 87°, low 60°, precipitation 0.59 in for the month. 1991 to 2020 normals at Youngtown, 4 mi away.
Other places nearby
Data sources
- National Weather Service APINOAA · Official site
- National Blend of Models (NBM) text guidanceNOAA National Weather Service · Official site
- Convective Outlooks and Storm ReportsNOAA Storm Prediction Center · Official site
- Excessive Rainfall Outlook and Quantitative Precipitation ForecastsNOAA Weather Prediction Center · Official site
- National Water Prediction ServiceNOAA National Weather Service · Official site
- WFIGS Current Wildland Fire IncidentsNational Interagency Fire Center · Official site
- UV Index Forecast (Envirofacts)U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and NOAA · Official site
- AirNowU.S. Environmental Protection Agency · Official site
- NWS HeatRisk (experimental)NOAA National Weather Service · Official site
- U.S. Drought MonitorNational Drought Mitigation Center, USDA and NOAA · Official site
- BEACON 2.0 Beach Advisory and Closing On-line NotificationU.S. Environmental Protection Agency · Official site
- U.S. Climate Normals 1991-2020NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information · Official site
- Tides & Currents (CO-OPS API)NOAA Center for Operational Oceanographic Products and Services · Official site
- NEXRAD radar tilesIowa Environmental Mesonet, Iowa State University · Official site
- GOES-East and GOES-West GeoColor imageryNOAA NESDIS Center for Satellite Applications and Research · Official site
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About this data
Weather and emergencies: Weather, air quality and hazard information on this page is delayed and may be incomplete. It is not a substitute for official warnings. Always follow the National Weather Service, local emergency management and public safety officials. In an emergency, call 911. For evacuation orders, use your local official alert system.
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