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Tioga, TX 76271 Weather
Tonight: Clear, low 61°F. Hourly and 10-day forecast from the National Weather Service. Times are local (CDT).
Tioga, TX 76271 current weather
68°F
Clear
Forecast for this hour. No recent report from a nearby station.
H -- / L 61°
No rain expected in the next 12 hours
No recent station report. NWS hourly forecast updated 10/27/2026, 4:06 PM PT
Hourly forecast
NWS, updated 10/27/2026, 4:06 PM PT
10-day forecast
Tap a day for details
Today10/27Low 61°High
Tonight: Clear, with a low around 61. South southeast wind around 5 mph.
ClearWed10/28Low 64°High 82°
Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 82. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 64. South southeast wind around 5 mph.
SunnyThu10/2912% chance of precipitationLow 64°High 82°
Thursday: Partly sunny. High near 82, with temperatures falling to around 80 in the afternoon. South wind around 5 mph.
Thursday Night: Cloudy, with a low around 64. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Partly SunnyFri10/3049% chance of precipitationLow 58°High 74°
Friday: A chance of rain showers after 7am. Cloudy. High near 74, with temperatures falling to around 72 in the afternoon. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday Night: A chance of rain showers before 7pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 7pm and 1am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Chance Rain ShowersSat10/3148% chance of precipitationLow 58°High 76°
Saturday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. South southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. North northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Chance Showers And ThunderstormsSun11/130% chance of precipitationLow 62°High 79°
Sunday: Partly sunny, with a high near 79.
Sunday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Partly SunnyMon11/249% chance of precipitationLow 56°High 79°
Monday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Monday Night: A chance of rain showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Chance Showers And ThunderstormsTue11/327% chance of precipitationLow High 72°
Tuesday: A chance of rain showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Chance Rain ShowersWed11/4Model blendLow 48°High 69°
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High near 69°. Low that night near 48°. About 0.02 in of precipitation.
Computer model guidance from the NOAA National Blend of Models, not a forecast written by NWS forecasters. Expect changes this far out.
Thu11/5Model blendLow 48°High 70°
Thursday: Mostly sunny. High near 70°. Low that night near 48°.
Computer model guidance from the NOAA National Blend of Models, not a forecast written by NWS forecasters. Expect changes this far out.
Forecast for 33.467, -96.907 from the NWS FWD office, updated 10/27/2026, 4:06 PM PT · Official forecast on weather.gov
Days 9 to 10: NOAA National Blend of Models, station KGYI (Dennison/N Texas Rgnl, 22 mi), model run 10/27/2026, 6:00 PM CDT
Forecaster's discussionIssued 10/27/2026, 7:13 PM CDT
: New AVIATION:
Key messages
- Above normal temperatures will continue through Thursday.
- Isolated showers and storms (15-30% chance) are possible across portions of Central Texas Wednesday afternoon.
- Rain and cloud cover will bring near average temperatures on Friday before warmer temperatures in the 80s return this weekend.
Short term
(This evening through Wednesday) Issued at 208 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026
This afternoon, visible satellite continues to show a shortwave disturbance ejecting into the Midwest, with scattered showers and any remaining cloud cover exiting to the east of the CWA. A surface high pressure will reinforce clear skies overnight, bringing radiational cooling with lows into the upper 50s and low 60s.
Wednesday, continued southerly flow will help pull Gulf moisture north along the I-35 corridor. Broad warm air advection and isentropic lift should provide sufficient forcing for isolated showers and storms (20-30%) primarily south of I-20. Some of these may be capable of rainfall rates of 1-2" per hour owing to 1.5"+ PWAT's and tall/skinny CAPE profiles. Despite these rainfall rates, flooding is unlikely at this time due to the brief and spotty nature of any storms that are able to develop. The potential for isolated thunderstorms will be driven by weak instability (MUCAPE 500-1000 J/kg) as shown in the most recent CAMs. Otherwise, warm and humid weather will prevail Wednesday, with highs in the mid 80s, and lows back into the lower 60s overnight into Thursday morning.
Long term
(Wednesday night through next Monday) Issued at 208 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026
Thursday will bring a period of daily unsettled weather as a shortwave ejects off the Mexican Plateau. Persistent southerly flow throughout the week will bring dewpoints into the 60s by this time. This moisture return, coinciding with synoptic ascent owing to PVA from the aforementioned shortwave will help promote scattered rain showers (50% PoP) Thursday through Saturday. Thursday into Friday, the greatest rain chances look to stay west of I-35. This activity will expand east heading into the weekend. Instability looks to be on the weaker end, with the latest LREF ensembles offering 200-400 J/kg of MUCAPE. This could be enough for a rumble of thunder or two amidst the more widespread showery activity. As this shortwave shunts northeast, broken to overcast skies will prevail through the weekend. Despite lingering cloud cover, high temperatures will remain above normal in the upper 70s and lower 80s. Saturday (Halloween) night, any remaining showers will continue to decay, leaving behind cool and humid conditions with dewpoints in the mid 60s.
Daily rain chances will continue into early next week, as medium- range guidance continues to depict a deepening western CONUS trough. This next upper-level system may bring a fall cold front and mid- week rain chances. The strength of the cold front and any associated convection will become clearer in the coming days, so stay tuned for more forecast updates.
Aviation
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 705 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026
VFR conditions will prevail at the D10 terminals through Wednesday evening. Increasing southerly flow will draw low-level moisture northward during the day tomorrow, with a BKN-OVC deck around 050 expected to reach the Metroplex by 16Z before ceilings lift late in the afternoon. Farther south, MVFR cigs will be more prevalent across Central Texas around or just after daybreak Wednesday morning, though confidence in prevailing MVFR at KACT remains low. A TEMPO for BKN015 has been included from 12-17Z to account for occasional periods of low cigs. Isolated showers may develop across Central Texas in the afternoon, but the probability of impacts at KACT or the D10 terminals remains too low for mention at this time. Southerly winds will generally remain between 5-10 kts through the end of the period.
Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
Preliminary point temps/pops
Dallas-Ft. Worth 63 83 67 82 / 0 10 0 0 Waco 61 83 65 81 / 0 30 0 10 Paris 56 83 62 84 / 0 0 0 0 Denton 59 83 63 82 / 0 10 0 10 McKinney 59 82 63 82 / 0 10 0 0 Dallas 63 84 68 83 / 0 20 0 0 Terrell 58 83 63 83 / 0 20 0 0 Corsicana 60 83 64 82 / 0 30 0 0 Temple 61 84 65 81 / 0 30 0 10 Mineral Wells 59 82 62 81 / 0 0 0 30
Watches, warnings and advisories
None.
From the National Weather Service; may be delayed. Not for life-safety decisions. In an emergency, call 911.
Next 6 hours
NWS hourly forecast
- Now68°Clear0%5 mph
- 12 AM67°Clear0%5 mph
- 1 AM66°Clear1%5 mph
- 2 AM65°Clear1%5 mph
- 3 AM64°Clear1%5 mph
- 4 AM63°Clear1%5 mph
Hourly details
Next 7 days: temperature chart, feels like, rain and snow amounts, sky cover, wind and gustsShowHide
NWS hourly forecast updated 10/27/2026, 4:06 PM PT
Radar and satellite
National radarNEXRAD (last 50 min) and GOES
Nearby hazards
Texas hazardsSevere storm and flash flood outlooks, expected rain, river flooding and wildfires near this area
- Severe storm outlook today:No thunderstorm risk area over this locationOutlook map
- Excessive rainfall outlook (flash flood risk):Could not check the Weather Prediction Center outlook right now.
- River gauges within 40 miles at or above flood stage: None reported
- Active wildfires within 50 miles: None reported
Drought
By countyGrayson County, week of 10/20/2026
88% of the county is in moderate drought or worse.
Sun and moon
Local time, center of the area
- Sunrise
- 7:42 AM
- Sunset
- 6:40 PM
- Daylight
- 10 hr 58 min
- Moon
- Waning Gibbous 95% lit
- First light (civil dawn)
- 7:16 AM
- Last light (civil dusk)
- 7:06 PM
- Moonrise
- 7:29 PM
- Moonset
- 9:23 AM
Normal October weather
ClimateNormal October high 78°, low 55°. 1991 to 2020 normals at Pilot Point Isl Du Boi, 9 mi away.
Other places nearby
Data sources
- National Weather Service APINOAA
- National Blend of Models (NBM) text guidanceNOAA National Weather Service
- Convective Outlooks and Storm ReportsNOAA Storm Prediction Center
- Excessive Rainfall Outlook and Quantitative Precipitation ForecastsNOAA Weather Prediction Center
- National Water Prediction ServiceNOAA National Weather Service
- WFIGS Current Wildland Fire IncidentsNational Interagency Fire Center
- UV Index Forecast (Envirofacts)U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and NOAA
- AirNowU.S. Environmental Protection Agency
- NWS HeatRisk (experimental)NOAA National Weather Service
- U.S. Drought MonitorNational Drought Mitigation Center, USDA and NOAA
- BEACON 2.0 Beach Advisory and Closing On-line NotificationU.S. Environmental Protection Agency
- U.S. Climate Normals 1991-2020NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information
- Tides & Currents (CO-OPS API)NOAA Center for Operational Oceanographic Products and Services
- NEXRAD radar tilesIowa Environmental Mesonet, Iowa State University
- GOES-East and GOES-West GeoColor imageryNOAA NESDIS Center for Satellite Applications and Research
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Frequently asked questions
- Will it rain in Tioga, TX 76271 in the next 24 hours?
- The NWS hourly forecast does not show any hour with a 50% or higher chance of precipitation in the next 24 hours.
- What is the 10-day forecast for Tioga, TX 76271?
- The first 8 days come from the National Weather Service forecast. Days 9 to 10 (Nov 4 to Nov 5) come from the NOAA National Blend of Models, with highs of 69°F to 70°F. Model guidance this far out often changes.
- What time is sunrise and sunset in Tioga, TX 76271 today?
- Sunrise is about 7:42 AM CDT and sunset is about 6:40 PM CDT (calculated for the center of the area, within a few minutes).
- What is the normal October weather in Tioga, TX 76271?
- At Pilot Point Isl Du Boi, the 1991 to 2020 normal high in October is 78°F and the normal low is 55°F.
About this data
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