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Chance, OK 74964 Weather
It is 70°F and clear in Chance, OK 74964, observed at 6:55 PM CDT. Tonight: Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers, low 59°F. Hourly and 10-day forecast from the National Weather Service. Times are local (CDT).
Chance, OK 74964 current weather
70°F
Clear
H -- / L 59°Feels like 70°
Observed at Siloam Springs, Smith Field Airport (13.1 mi away), 10/30/2026, 6:55 PM CDT
10-day forecast
Tap a day for details
Today10/3015% chance of precipitationLow 59°High
Tonight: A slight chance of rain showers between 1am and 4am. Cloudy, with a low around 59. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain ShowersSat10/3137% chance of precipitationLow 56°High 70°
Saturday: A chance of rain showers after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Saturday Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Mostly Cloudy then Chance Rain ShowersSun11/1Low 60°High 73°
Sunday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73. South wind 0 to 5 mph.
Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Southeast wind 0 to 10 mph.
Mostly CloudyMon11/292% chance of precipitationLow 60°High 74°
Monday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. South wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday Night: Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Mostly Cloudy then Chance Showers And ThunderstormsTue11/358% chance of precipitationLow 49°High 68°
Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 68. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday Night: A slight chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Northwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Showers And Thunderstorms LikelyWed11/415% chance of precipitationLow 46°High 65°
Wednesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 65. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Wednesday Night: A slight chance of rain showers after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Partly SunnyThu11/5Low 43°High 65°
Thursday: Partly sunny, with a high near 65. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. North wind 0 to 5 mph.
Partly SunnyFri11/6Low High 66°
Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66. North wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly SunnySat11/7Model blend18% chance of precipitationLow 46°High 68°
Saturday: Partly cloudy. High near 68°. Low that night near 46°. About 0.11 in of precipitation.
Computer model guidance from the NOAA National Blend of Models, not a forecast written by NWS forecasters. Expect changes this far out.
Sun11/8Model blend16% chance of precipitationLow 45°High 67°
Sunday: Partly cloudy, slight chance of rain. High near 67°. Low that night near 45°. About 0.10 in of precipitation.
Computer model guidance from the NOAA National Blend of Models, not a forecast written by NWS forecasters. Expect changes this far out.
Forecast for 36.104, -94.686 from the NWS TSA office, updated 10/30/2026, 4:50 PM PT · Official forecast on weather.gov
Days 9 to 10: NOAA National Blend of Models, station KSLG (Siloam Springs/Smith Fld, 13 mi), model run 10/30/2026, 3:00 PM CDT
From the National Weather Service; may be delayed. Not for life-safety decisions. In an emergency, call 911.
Radar and satellite
National radarNEXRAD (up to 24 hours) and GOES
Frequently asked questions
- What is the weather in Chance, OK 74964 right now?
- The latest observation from Siloam Springs, Smith Field Airport was 70°F and clear, reported at 10/30/2026, 6:55 PM CDT.
- What is the 10-day forecast for Chance, OK 74964?
- The first 8 days come from the National Weather Service forecast. Days 9 to 10 (Nov 7 to Nov 8) come from the NOAA National Blend of Models, with highs of 67°F to 68°F. Model guidance this far out often changes.
- What time is sunrise and sunset in Chance, OK 74964 today?
- Sunrise is about 7:39 AM CDT and sunset is about 6:24 PM CDT (calculated for the center of the area, within a few minutes).
- What is the normal October weather in Chance, OK 74964?
- At Kansas 2 NE, the 1991 to 2020 normal high in October is 73°F and the normal low is 50°F.
Rain and snow totals
Next 3 days, NWS forecast grid
- Rain (liquid)
- 0.12 in
- Snow
- 0.00 in
- Ice
- 0.00 in
Nearby hazards
Oklahoma hazardsSevere storm and flash flood outlooks, expected rain, river flooding and wildfires near this area
- Severe storm outlook today:No thunderstorm risk area over this locationOutlook map
- Excessive rainfall outlook (flash flood risk):Could not check the Weather Prediction Center outlook right now.
- River gauges within 40 miles at or above flood stage: None reported
- Active wildfires within 50 miles: None reported
UV and air quality forecast
EPA and AirNow
- AQI forecast tomorrow (Springdale (Springdale-Fayetteville-Bentonville))
- 60ModeratePM2.5
- AQI forecast tomorrow (Springdale (Springdale-Fayetteville-Bentonville))
- 55ModeratePM2.5
Drought
By countyAdair County, week of 10/27/2026
100% of the county is in moderate drought or worse, 9% in extreme drought or worse.
Sun and moon
Local time, center of the area
- Sunrise
- 7:39 AM
- Sunset
- 6:24 PM
- Daylight
- 10 hr 45 min
- Moon
- Waning Gibbous 76% lit
- First light (civil dawn)
- 7:13 AM
- Last light (civil dusk)
- 6:51 PM
- Moonrise
- 10:14 PM
- Moonset
- 12:46 PM
Normal October weather
ClimateNormal October high 73°, low 50°. 1991 to 2020 normals at Kansas 2 NE, 9 mi away.
Other places nearby
Data sources
- National Weather Service APINOAA · Official site
- National Blend of Models (NBM) text guidanceNOAA National Weather Service · Official site
- Convective Outlooks and Storm ReportsNOAA Storm Prediction Center · Official site
- Excessive Rainfall Outlook and Quantitative Precipitation ForecastsNOAA Weather Prediction Center · Official site
- National Water Prediction ServiceNOAA National Weather Service · Official site
- WFIGS Current Wildland Fire IncidentsNational Interagency Fire Center · Official site
- UV Index Forecast (Envirofacts)U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and NOAA · Official site
- AirNowU.S. Environmental Protection Agency · Official site
- NWS HeatRisk (experimental)NOAA National Weather Service · Official site
- U.S. Drought MonitorNational Drought Mitigation Center, USDA and NOAA · Official site
- BEACON 2.0 Beach Advisory and Closing On-line NotificationU.S. Environmental Protection Agency · Official site
- U.S. Climate Normals 1991-2020NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information · Official site
- Tides & Currents (CO-OPS API)NOAA Center for Operational Oceanographic Products and Services · Official site
- NEXRAD radar tilesIowa Environmental Mesonet, Iowa State University · Official site
- GOES-East and GOES-West GeoColor imageryNOAA NESDIS Center for Satellite Applications and Research · Official site
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About this data
Weather and emergencies: Weather, air quality and hazard information on this page is delayed and may be incomplete. It is not a substitute for official warnings. Always follow the National Weather Service, local emergency management and public safety officials. In an emergency, call 911. For evacuation orders, use your local official alert system.
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