- Dry conditions expected for today through Friday night, with scattered showers returning on Saturday followed by more persistent and widespread rain Monday through Tuesday.
- Although cooler than Wednesday, temperatures will remain above normal through the middle of next week.
Discussion
Issued at 142 AM CDT Thu Oct 29 2026
The cold front and its associated upper level trough responsible for the showers/thunderstorms on Wednesday is now well east of the WFO MPX coverage area, with appreciable cold and dry air advection on going behind it for the Upper Midwest. Temperatures will bottom out in the lower 30s to lower 40s this morning followed by highs only topping out in the upper 40s to upper 50s. While this is still above normal for late October, this is obviously cooler than the temperatures experienced yesterday despite plentiful sunshine for today. Similar temperatures are expected on Friday with the same high pressure airmass shifting east across the area through late day Friday. The western extent of the departing cold front, located over the Central Plains, will push northward a bit Friday night through Saturday, bringing rain on Saturday for mainly southern MN but potentially as far north as an Alexandria-Mora line. No thunderstorms are expected, just scattered to numerous rain showers.
A better chance for rain still looks to come Monday into Tuesday as a system develops over the lee of the Rockies into CO/KS. However, with models still projecting a generally straight easterly track, this will keep the center of the system south of MN/WI but still thrust a large precipitation shield to its north across our coverage area for Monday through Tuesday, resulting in a persistent soaking rainfall out of high moisture content and strong isentropic lift. In addition, guidance continues to tamp down temperatures from getting too far over normal. Highs Sunday-Monday will range in the upper 50s to mid 60s as this system moves across the region. Behind it, highs will return to the 50s for the middle of next week along with less active weather.
Aviation
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Thu Oct 29 2026
AXN, continuing to watch the development of MVFR Cu to the west of the field. Hi-res guidance does bring these clouds further east thus have introduced a 3-hr tempo period of BKN MVFR cigs to account for this. Otherwise, skies for the rest of cloud cover should remain FEW/SCT at best.
All remaining sites, VFR until mid-level SCT/BKN cigs arrive from the west around 00z. NW'ly winds will continue to decrease this afternoon becoming light and variable tonight. Winds shift easterly tomorrow morning between 4-8kts with cigs increasing to 20kft.
KMSP: No additional concerns.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ SAT: Chance MVFR/-RA. Wind SE 5-10kts. SUN: VFR. Wind SE 5-10kts. MON: MVFR/-RA likely, mainly P.M. Wind SE 10-15kts.&&
Watches, warnings and advisories
MN: None. WI: None.
From the National Weather Service; may be delayed. Not for life-safety decisions. In an emergency, call 911.
Next 6 hours
NWS hourly forecast
Now49°Sunny0%10 mph
3 PM50°Sunny0%10 mph
4 PM50°Sunny0%5 mph
5 PM50°Sunny0%5 mph
6 PM50°Mostly Clear0%5 mph
7 PM46°Mostly Clear0%5 mph
Hourly details
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