Bardstown, KY 40004 Weather

Key messages

* Dry conditions and warmer than average temperatures will continue Friday. Clouds increase becoming overcast on Halloween.

* Chances for rain have increased somewhat (near 60-70%), although rainfall totals remain highly uncertain. High end totals of just under and inch in the southwest to very little in the Bluegrass is possible.

* A more unsettled weather pattern is expected next week, with our next widespread rain chance occurring on Wednesday.

Discussion

Issued at 317 AM EDT Fri Oct 30 2026

Now through Saturday Night:

Early morning sat/obs shows clear to partly cloudy skies across the region. A batch of high level clouds will continue to stream across the region this morning. A weak frontal boundary over southern Indiana will drop southeast through the region during the day. No precipitation is expected with it, but we'll see winds shift around to the northeast during the afternoon. Highs today will be in the 73-79 degree range with overnight lows dropping back into the upper 40s/lower 50s.

For Saturday, we'll see continued low-level moisture advection ahead of an approaching mid-level wave and tropical moisture with the remnants of tropical cyclone Vance. Our atmosphere will be quite dry during the day but will slowly moisten during the afternoon and evening. Overall, Saturday will feature partly to mostly cloudy skies with highs in the lower 70s across southern Indiana and across north-central and east-central Kentucky. Slightly warmer highs will be seen across southern KY with highs in the mid-upper 70s. Saturday evening looks to remain dry with temps mainly in the low-mid 60s. A light showers will likely start to spread into western Kentucky overnight with lows dipping into the mid-upper 50s.

Sunday-Tuesday Night:

Sunday will feature mostly cloudy skies with scattered rain showers across the region. Rainfall could be heavy at times, especially in our western and southwestern zones. Model QPF spread remains quite large with the low end of a few hundreths with the top end of the envelope near an inch. General model consensus has the highest QPF generally in the I-65 corridor and points west. As the upper level wave moves east, we'll see shower activity diminish from west to east. However, low clouds and sprinkles/drizzle is likely to continue into Sunday night and into Monday. Highs on Sunday will be noticeably cooler with readings in the low-mid 60s and overnight lows in the lower 50s. Highs may trend a little milder on Monday with highs in the mid-upper 60s. By Tuesday, stronger southwest flow ahead of a stronger mid-level wave coming across the Plains will help boost temps up a bit. Mid-upper 70s look likely here, though the models may under-estimate highs in this warm advection pattern.

Wednesday through Friday:

By mid-week, attention will turn to a large mid-level wave heading eastward through the central Plains. This feature looks to arrive in our region by late Wednesday brining another round of moderate to occasionally heavy rainfall and possible thunderstorms to the region. This wave will be slow moving as it is cut off from the faster flow that will be to the north, so unsettled weather is likely to continue into Thursday as well. This wave may undergo further amplification and may cut off over the Mid-Atlantic/southern NE US toward the end of the week. Wrap around moisture may keep our eastern zones a bit more cloudy even into Friday.

Highs on Wednesday will generally be in the upper 60s to the very low 70s with overnight lows dropping into the upper 40s/lower 50s. Cooler temps look likely for Thursday and Friday with highs in the mid-upper 60s with overnight lows in the upper 30s/lower 40s.

Aviation

Issued at 124 AM EDT Fri Oct 30 2026

For the remainder of the overnight period, VFR conditions are expected to continue. We'll see a thin layer of cirrus continue overhead with winds becoming light and variable. Toward sunrise, expect winds to shift to the northeast and remain light but increase to 5-8 kts during the daytime hours.

Watches, warnings and advisories

KY: None. IN: None.