Geraldine, AL 35974 Weather

: New AVIATION:

Key messages

Updated at 826 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

- Medium to high chances (60-80%) of showers and a few storms will return to the forecast Saturday night into Sunday.

- Low to medium chances (10-40%) for showers and a few storms will linger into the early part of next week.

Near term

(Rest of Today and Tonight) Issued at 826 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

A weak shortwave trough is traversing the Tennessee Valley today, but given the dry air mass there will be little weather impact besides some high clouds passing through the region. Some very light returns were noted on radar, but given ceilings over 20 kft, don't think this is reaching the ground and is likely virga. These clouds will shift eastward by this afternoon, with mostly sunny conditions prevailing for the remainder of the day. Once again we anticipate dewpoints to mix out into the 40s, with Min RH values dropping to around 30-40 percent as highs climb to the mid 70s. Despite the weak winds, caution is urged with any potential outdoor burning due to the dry fuels and lower RH values. Mostly clear and calm conditions will allow for good radiational cooling tonight as lows drop to the low to mid 40s. Additionally, some patchy fog may develop in sheltered river valleys once again late tonight and have added this to the forecast.

Short term

(Thursday through Friday) Issued at 826 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

High pressure will amplify across the Deep South Thursday and Friday, resulting in sunny/dry and warm conditions. Would not be surprised at all if temperatures trend at least a degree or two high given the dry soils and magnitude of the ridge. As a result, would expect temperatures to return to the upper 70s to lower 80s in most locations both Thursday and Friday afternoon. Overnight, good radiational cooling will allow lows to drop into the 40s with the potential for some localized patchy fog again Thursday night into early Friday morning.

Long term

(Friday night through Tuesday) Issued at 1019 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

Over the weekend, a quick pattern transition will take place, with the 5h and 8h ridges shift east of the region. This will allow a shortwave to enter the Ozarks and Mid South on Saturday into Sunday. The greatest UVVs will be on Sunday for the local area with our greatest shower chances. Only a slight chance of a thunderstorm exists at this point with limited instability. QPF of 0.4-1.3 inches with the highest amounts west of I-65 looks OK for now. With the surface/wedging remaining across the Lee of the Appalachians into the southeast U.S., a cool and fairly stable lower atmosphere is expected. Chances wane late Sunday, with low chances of light rain or perhaps some drizzle look favorable given shallow isentropic ascent over the cooler airmass that arrives. By Monday into Tuesday, minor upper ridging takes places and shifts into the Southeast U.S. ahead of a strong deepening upper trough in the Plains states. Southerly flow will increase Monday into Tuesday. A line of showers and thunderstorms will take shape in the lower MS Valley Tuesday in advance of the trough and cold front. But the deepening and slow nature of the upper low may delay the arrival of widespread precipitation until Wednesday.

Aviation

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1140 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

VFR conditions will be the predominant flight category at each terminal through the period with light winds and a mostly clear sky. The one exception may be late tonight into early Thursday morning when some patchy light fog may result in localized MVFR conditions due to reduced visibilities.

Watches, warnings and advisories

AL: None. TN: None.