Significant rainfall unlikely through early next week.
Key messages
- 1. Rain chances continue to trend down for this weekend, with higher chances now falling to mid or late next week.
Discussion
Key Message 1: Rain chances continue to trend down for this weekend, with higher chances now falling to mid or late next week.
Ridging over the forecast area is expected to remain in place through the weekend. Models have continued to delay the onset of moisture advection over the area as the jet streak to our west stretches out and orients north-south. Breezy northeast winds and dry high pressure will continue through Sunday with near normal temperatures.
Surface high pressure will slip offshore next week promoting some weak isentropic lift into the Southeast. The shortwave trough may allow for coastal low pressure to develop on Monday or Tuesday bringing additional moisture back into the region but confidence is low at this time. Ultimately any rainfall that does occur early next week would likely only yield light amounts. Even the 90th percentile of the NBM QMD only a few hundredths through early next week.
Model solutions diverge through the remainder of the week. Although there is a large spread in guidance, the majority of deterministic models depict a more amplified synoptic pattern from mid to late next week. This will at least support a chance of rain in the extended despite the uncertainty in the exact timing of frontal passages and rainfall.
Aviation
VFR conditions likely continue through the TAF period.
Expect a few high clouds overnight with light and variable winds. Limited moisture should hinder the threat of fog or stratus. However, similar to the past few nights there could be some shallow ground fog near bodies of water right around sunrise. Ultimately a persistence forecast is favored with VFR conditions likely. Light NE winds continue Friday with speeds from 5 to 8 kts and a few cumulus through the afternoon.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK: The chance of restrictions increases this weekend however model trends have favored lower rain chances and weaker moisture advection.
Watches, warnings and advisories
SC: None. GA: None.
From the National Weather Service; may be delayed. Not for life-safety decisions. In an emergency, call 911.
Next 6 hours
NWS hourly forecast
Now59°Clear0%1 mph
2 AM58°Clear0%1 mph
3 AM57°Clear0%1 mph
4 AM56°Clear0%2 mph
5 AM56°Clear0%2 mph
6 AM55°Sunny0%2 mph
Hourly details
Next 7 days: temperature chart, feels like, rain and snow amounts, sky cover, wind and gustsShowHide
What is the high temperature today in Turbeville, SC 29162?
The National Weather Service forecast for friday calls for a high near 82°F. Sunny.
Will it rain in Turbeville, SC 29162 in the next 24 hours?
The NWS hourly forecast does not show any hour with a 50% or higher chance of precipitation in the next 24 hours.
What is the 10-day forecast for Turbeville, SC 29162?
The first 7 days come from the National Weather Service forecast. Days 8 to 10 (Nov 6 to Nov 8) come from the NOAA National Blend of Models, with highs of 71°F to 75°F. Model guidance this far out often changes.
What time is sunrise and sunset in Turbeville, SC 29162 today?
Sunrise is about 7:37 AM EDT and sunset is about 6:29 PM EDT (calculated for the center of the area, within a few minutes).
What is the normal October weather in Turbeville, SC 29162?
At Cades 4 W, the 1991 to 2020 normal high in October is 78°F and the normal low is 52°F.
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