Murphy, NC 28906 Weather

Cherokee-Clay-Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins- Sullivan-Johnson-Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen- Northwest Cocke-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Northwest Greene- Southeast Greene-Washington TN-Unicoi-Northwest Carter- Southeast Carter-Roane-Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-Northwest Blount- Blount Smoky Mountains-North Sevier-Sevier Smoky Mountains- Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe- Southeast Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-East Polk-Lee- Wise-Scott VA-Russell-Washington VA- 119 PM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026 /1219 PM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest North Carolina: east Tennessee and southwest Virginia.

Day one: This Afternoon and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

Days two through seven: Thursday through Tuesday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

Spotter information statement

Spotter activation is not needed at this time.

: New DISCUSSION, AVIATION:

Key messages

Updated at 101 PM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026

- Dry conditions will continue for the next several days with mild highs in the 70s and seasonally cool lows in the 40s.

- Relative humidity values will drop into the 30s during the afternoon and early evening hours but with very light winds.

- Weekend rain chances are trending downward as high pressure maintains a grip on the region.

Discussion

Issued at 101 PM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026

The next few days will remain dry with pleasant temperatures as a 850-700 mb ridge will be parked across the Southeast. The main impacts through Friday will be morning fog, which should mainly be focused along area rivers and lakes. Low afternoon RH values in the 30s will be a concern to fire weather interests, but winds will be light through the weekend.

Previous forecasts have pointed to the next chance of rain arriving Saturday night and continuing into Sunday. Models are backing away from that solution with the latest runs, particularly the ECMWF, which now has completely dry weather until late next week. A few mid/upper level shortwave troughs cross the area in this time frame, but are too moisture-starved in the low levels to produce much measureable precip. The strong 850 mb ridge remains anchored to the Mid-Atlantic coast and Outer Banks region through early next week, keeping deep moisture well to our west. We can certainly use some rain, but mostly sunny skies and highs in the 70s will be enjoyable as we head into November.

Aviation

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 101 PM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026

No aviation impacts are forecast, but fog cannot be ruled out at any of the sites tomorrow morning. At this time, confidence is too low to mention in the TAFs, and will allow later issuances to add fog if confidence increases.

Preliminary point temps/pops

Chattanooga Airport, TN 48 76 48 78 / 0 0 0 0 Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 46 75 46 78 / 0 0 0 0 Oak Ridge, TN 46 75 46 77 / 0 0 0 0 Tri Cities Airport, TN 44 74 43 77 / 0 0 0 0

Watches, warnings and advisories

NC: NONE. TN: NONE. VA: NONE.