1) Lengthy run of dry and mild weather continues into early November before coming to an end by late next week
Discussion
KEY MESSAGE 1: Lengthy run of dry and mild weather continues into early November before coming to an end by late next week
Another very pleasant and comfortable weekend to close out October (Halloween) and start November (ending daylight saving time).
The latest model guidance continues to grow in agreement with the progression of a CONUS-crossing upper trough eventually reaching the eastern U.S. by the second half of next week. Highest odds for rain are currently placed around Thursday 11/5. There also continues to be some indications that rich Gulf moisture will be pulled northward along a well defined north south oriented frontal zone accompanying the full latitude upper trough which could result in moderate to heavy rainfall.
Aviation
VFR should prevail through the weekend. Patchy valley fog possible tonight in northwest PA with low (<30%) of restrictions at KBFD, but not enough confidence to include in the latest TAF package. Lighter winds into early next week with increasing clouds through Sunday.
Outlook:
Sat-Wed: A.M. valley fog; otherwise VFR. Increasing chance of rain from mid to late week.
Watches, warnings and advisories
None.
From the National Weather Service; may be delayed. Not for life-safety decisions. In an emergency, call 911.
Next 6 hours
NWS hourly forecast
Now46°Mostly Clear0%3 mph
11 PM44°Mostly Clear0%3 mph
12 AM43°Mostly Clear0%3 mph
1 AM42°Partly Cloudy0%3 mph
2 AM41°Partly Cloudy0%2 mph
3 AM40°Partly Cloudy0%2 mph
Hourly details
Next 7 days: temperature chart, feels like, rain and snow amounts, sky cover, wind and gustsShowHide
Observed today
Since midnight, vs yesterday and normal
Today's high so far is 5° above the normal of 56° and 2° cooler than yesterday's high.
High so far
61°
5° above normal
Low so far
46°
Normal low 38°
Precipitation
--
Not reported by this station
Yesterday
High 63° · Low 48°
Normal for today
High 56° · Low 38°
Observed at Schuylkill County/Joe Zerbey Airport (KZER) since midnight local time, through 9:35 PM. Station reports are preliminary and not quality controlled. Normals are estimated from 1991 to 2020 monthly normals at Bear Gap.
Will it rain in Wilburton Number One, PA 17858 in the next 24 hours?
The NWS hourly forecast does not show any hour with a 50% or higher chance of precipitation in the next 24 hours.
What is the 10-day forecast for Wilburton Number One, PA 17858?
The first 8 days come from the National Weather Service forecast. Days 9 to 10 (Nov 7 to Nov 8) come from the NOAA National Blend of Models, with highs of 57°F to 59°F. Model guidance this far out often changes.
What time is sunrise and sunset in Wilburton Number One, PA 17858 today?
Sunrise is about 7:34 AM EDT and sunset is about 6:04 PM EDT (calculated for the center of the area, within a few minutes).
What is the normal October weather in Wilburton Number One, PA 17858?
At Bear Gap, the 1991 to 2020 normal high in October is 62°F and the normal low is 42°F.
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