North East, PA 16428 Weather

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie, north central Ohio, northeast Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

Day one

Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

Days two through seven

Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

Spotter information statement

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

What has changed

No significant changes were made to the forecast.

Key messages

1) Brief, scattered rain showers are expected tonight, followed by quiet and near-normal temperatures Friday and Saturday.

2) Scattered rain showers are expected next week.

Discussion

KEY MESSAGE 1: A cold front accompanied by rain showers will move southeast across the area late this evening through tonight. It'll be a short window (generally between 22-05Z), with showers lasting no long er than an hour or two at any given location. Thunder is unlikely but can't be ruled out in the Toledo area and then along the lakeshore, with a brief gust of wind mainly near the lakeshore.

Dry weather returns Friday and Saturday as high pressure build back in across the region. Slightly cooler, albeit still above normal, with highs in the 60s Friday and Saturday behind the cold front. Chilly overnight lows Friday night in the 40s for most and the low to mid 30s in the higher terrain of Northwest Pennsylvania.

KEY MESSAGE 2: As high pressure departs to the east, isolated, light rain showers may accompany a warm front Sunday night into Monday. Low pressure and an upper-level low will build into the region through midweek, with rain shower chances increase Monday night onward. Above normal temperatures will remain in place, and in fact will be well above normal Tuesday and Wednesday.

.AVIATION /00Z Friday THROUGH Tuesday/: VFR across the TAF sites this evening with mainly VFR to persist through the TAF period. The latest radar reveals a line of rain showers moving east through the area this evening ahead of an approaching cold front. Light rain and/or virga is associated with much of this activity, though some better returns and perhaps a more steady rain is possible over the next couple of hours out east, primarily impacting ERI with MVFR or brief IFR vsbys. Low ceilings may linger behind the front into Friday morning at ERI and potentially YNG before improving to VFR by late morning or early afternoon.

Winds are shifting towards the west behind the cold front, 7 to 10 knots, while winds ahead of the front remain out of the southwest, 7 to 10 knots. Winds will continue to shift towards the west, then north behind the front overnight into Friday, 7 to 9 knots.

Outlook: Apart from low rain chances Monday into Tuesday, mainly VFR expected through Tuesday.

Marine

Winds will become northwest this evening into tonight behind a cold front. Choppy conditions with waves 2-4 feet in the central basin remain possible behind the frontal passage through early Friday morning. As high pressure departs to the east, light easterly winds (less than 10 knots) are expected Friday night into Saturday, becoming southeast on Sunday.

Watches, warnings and advisories

OH: None. PA: None. MARINE: None.