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East Avon, NY 14414 Weather

Tonight: Mostly Clear, low 49°F. Hourly and 10-day forecast from the National Weather Service. Times are local (EDT).

East Avon, NY 14414 current weather

59°F

Partly Cloudy

Forecast for this hour. No recent report from a nearby station.

H -- / L 49°

  • No rain expected in the next 12 hours

No recent station report. NWS hourly forecast updated 10/28/2026, 3:39 PM PT

Hourly forecast

NWS, updated 10/28/2026, 3:39 PM PT

  1. Now59°
  2. 8 PM56°
  3. 9 PM54°
  4. 10 PM53°
  5. 11 PM53°
  6. 12 AM52°Thu
  7. 1 AM52°
  8. 2 AM52°
  9. 3 AM51°
  10. 4 AM50°
  11. 5 AM50°
  12. 6 AM50°
  13. 7 AM50°
  14. 8 AM49°
  15. 9 AM54°
  16. 10 AM60°
  17. 11 AM65°
  18. 12 PM69°
  19. 1 PM72°
  20. 2 PM74°
  21. 3 PM75°
  22. 4 PM75°
  23. 5 PM74°
  24. 6 PM70°13%
  25. 7 PM65°29%
  26. 8 PM65°44%
  27. 9 PM63°44%
  28. 10 PM62°44%
  29. 11 PM62°56%
  30. 12 AM60°56%Fri
  31. 1 AM59°56%
  32. 2 AM58°18%
  33. 3 AM56°18%
  34. 4 AM54°18%
  35. 5 AM50°15%
  36. 6 AM48°
  37. 7 AM47°
  38. 8 AM46°
  39. 9 AM47°
  40. 10 AM50°
  41. 11 AM53°
  42. 12 PM55°
  43. 1 PM57°
  44. 2 PM58°
  45. 3 PM58°
  46. 4 PM58°
  47. 5 PM56°
  48. 6 PM54°

10-day forecast

Tap a day for details

  • Today10/28Low 49°High

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 49. South wind 1 to 9 mph.

    Mostly Clear
  • Thu10/2956% chance of precipitationLow 46°High 75°

    Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 75. Southwest wind 9 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

    Thursday Night: Rain showers likely after 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. West wind around 12 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Sunny
  • Fri10/30Low 36°High 58°

    Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 58. Northwest wind 9 to 13 mph.

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 36. West wind 2 to 9 mph.

    Mostly Sunny
  • Sat10/31Low 37°High 59°

    Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 59. West wind around 3 mph.

    Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 37. Southeast wind around 3 mph.

    Mostly Sunny
  • Sun11/1Low 43°High 65°

    Sunday: Partly sunny, with a high near 65. Southeast wind around 5 mph.

    Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43.

    Partly Sunny
  • Mon11/212% chance of precipitationLow 45°High 66°

    Monday: Partly sunny, with a high near 66.

    Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45.

    Partly Sunny
  • Tue11/321% chance of precipitationLow 48°High 65°

    Tuesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 65.

    Tuesday Night: A slight chance of rain showers after 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48.

    Partly Sunny
  • Wed11/425% chance of precipitationLow High 65°

    Wednesday: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 65.

    Chance Rain Showers
  • Thu11/5Model blend53% chance of precipitationLow 44°High 64°

    Thursday: Chance of rain. High near 64°. Low that night near 44°. About 0.36 in of precipitation, with about 0.1 in of snow.

    Computer model guidance from the NOAA National Blend of Models, not a forecast written by NWS forecasters. Expect changes this far out.

  • Fri11/6Model blend39% chance of precipitationLow 39°High 59°

    Friday: Chance of rain. High near 59°. Low that night near 39°. About 0.15 in of precipitation.

    Computer model guidance from the NOAA National Blend of Models, not a forecast written by NWS forecasters. Expect changes this far out.

Forecast for 42.899, -77.722 from the NWS BUF office, updated 10/28/2026, 3:39 PM PT · Official forecast on weather.gov

Days 9 to 10: NOAA National Blend of Models, station KROC (Rochester Intl Arpt, 15 mi), model run 10/28/2026, 4:00 PM EDT

Hazardous weather outlookIssued 10/28/2026, 2:21 AM EDT

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake Ontario, western and north central New York.

Day one

Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

Days two through seven

Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

Spotter information statement

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

Forecaster's discussionIssued 10/28/2026, 7:06 PM EDT

What has changed

No significant changes with this update.

Key messages

1)Record warmth possible on Thursday.

2)A brief shot of light rain Thursday night. Dry weather then resumes and lasts through the weekend.

Discussion

KEY MESSAGE 1: Record warmth possible on Thursday.

High pressure will continue to drift east of New England tonight through Thursday, with deep southwesterly flow in its wake transporting unseasonable warmth into the eastern Great Lakes. Highs will reach the low to mid 70s for lower elevations. With the expected warmth, some records may fall or be tied. See the climate section of the AFD below for the current record highs for October 30th.

Additionally, winds will strengthen Thursday as a 35 to 45 knot low level jet moves over the eastern Great Lakes. Poor low level lapse rates will prevent full mixing of stronger winds from aloft, but channeling down Lake Erie may still support gusts of 30-40 mph across the Niagara Frontier in the afternoon. Gusts of 20 to 30 mph are expected elsewhere.

KEY MESSAGE 2: A brief shot of light rain Thursday night. Dry weather then resumes and lasts through the weekend.

A weak cold front nears the region Thursday, then crosses the eastern Great Lakes Thursday night. This system is moisture starved, but may have just enough forcing and moisture convergence to squeeze out a brief period of light showers. In terms of precipitation, amounts look very meager with only a few hundredths of an inch at best possible across Western and Central NY. Showers will exit before daybreak Friday, with high pressure then building back into the region later Friday through the weekend with another extended stretch of dry weather.

Aviation

VFR will prevail tonight through Thursday as strong high pressure drifts east of New England. A cold front will move into the central Great Lakes Thursday morning, then cross the eastern Great Lakes Thursday evening. Mid/high clouds will increase Thursday afternoon ahead of the front, but any showers will hold off until early evening with VFR continuing to prevail.

Winds will increase ahead of the front Thursday as a belt of 35 to 45 knot southwesterly flow aloft moves over the eastern Great Lakes. Poor low level lapse rates will prevent full mixing, but still expect gusts of 15 to 25 knots for much of the area, and 25 to 35 knots across the Niagara Frontier northeast of Lake Erie.

Outlook:

Thursday night: A few showers likely. Areas of MVFR CIGS with IFR possible across higher terrain.

Friday: Areas of MVFR CIGS early, improving to VFR in the afternoon.

Saturday through Monday: VFR.

Marine

Southwest winds will strengthen on the western flank of the departed ridge Thursday ahead of the approaching cold front. Small Craft conditions are likely to develop across portions of the lower Great Lakes later Thursday afternoon along and ahead of the front as southwest winds increase further.

Winds will veer to the northwest Thursday night through Friday behind the cold front. Small Craft Advisory conditions will likely continue for eastern portions of the lower Great Lakes, especially in the nearshore zones east of Hamlin Beach.

Fire weather

No measurable rain has fallen for nearly two weeks (10 days) in most of our region. The extended period of dry weather and sunshine has cured fine fuels and leaf litter, bringing some increase in wildfire risk. Luckily, the forecast does not show a significant overlap of strong, gusty winds and low relative humidity values through this weekend.

A weak cold front and weather disturbance should generate light and periodic rain showers Thursday eve-night, but resulting rainfall amounts should be less than 0.10". Dry weather will then follow Friday and last through the weekend. As a result, fine fuels and leaf litter should remain very dry.

Climate

Here are the record high temperatures for Thursday, October 30th.

Buffalo, NY 74 (1971)

Rochester, NY 76 (1896)

Watertown, NY 73 (1955)

Watches, warnings and advisories

NY: None. MARINE: None.

From the National Weather Service; may be delayed. Not for life-safety decisions. In an emergency, call 911.

Next 6 hours

NWS hourly forecast

  1. Now59°Partly Cloudy1%3 mph
  2. 8 PM56°Partly Cloudy1%1 mph
  3. 9 PM54°Mostly Clear1%3 mph
  4. 10 PM53°Mostly Clear1%7 mph
  5. 11 PM53°Mostly Clear1%8 mph
  6. 12 AM52°Mostly Clear1%8 mph

Hourly details

Next 7 days: temperature chart, feels like, rain and snow amounts, sky cover, wind and gustsShow

Radar and satellite

National radar

NEXRAD (last 50 min) and GOES

Latest

Frequently asked questions

Will it rain in East Avon, NY 14414 in the next 24 hours?
The NWS hourly forecast does not show any hour with a 50% or higher chance of precipitation in the next 24 hours.
What is the 10-day forecast for East Avon, NY 14414?
The first 8 days come from the National Weather Service forecast. Days 9 to 10 (Nov 5 to Nov 6) come from the NOAA National Blend of Models, with highs of 59°F to 64°F and up to a 53% chance of precipitation. Model guidance this far out often changes.
What time is sunrise and sunset in East Avon, NY 14414 today?
Sunrise is about 7:40 AM EDT and sunset is about 6:08 PM EDT (calculated for the center of the area, within a few minutes).
What is the normal October weather in East Avon, NY 14414?
At Avon, the 1991 to 2020 normal high in October is 61°F and the normal low is 41°F.

Nearby hazards

New York hazards

Severe storm and flash flood outlooks, expected rain, river flooding and wildfires near this area

  • Severe storm outlook today:No thunderstorm risk area over this locationOutlook map
  • Excessive rainfall outlook (flash flood risk):Could not check the Weather Prediction Center outlook right now.
  • River gauges within 40 miles at or above flood stage: None reported
  • Active wildfires within 50 miles: None reported

Drought

By county

Livingston County, week of 10/20/2026

100% of the county is abnormally dry. No drought.

Sun and moon

Local time, center of the area

Sunrise
7:40 AM
Sunset
6:08 PM
Daylight
10 hr 28 min
Moon
Waning Gibbous 91% lit
First light (civil dawn)
7:11 AM
Last light (civil dusk)
6:37 PM
Moonrise
7:25 PM
Moonset
10:50 AM

Normal October weather

Climate

Normal October high 61°, low 41°, precipitation 3.23 in for the month. 1991 to 2020 normals at Avon, 2 mi away.

Other places nearby

Data sources

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About this data

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