Tonight: Mostly Clear, low 43°F. Hourly and 10-day forecast from the National Weather Service. Times are local (EDT).
Clayton, NY 13624 current weather
47°F
Partly Cloudy
Forecast for this hour. No recent report from a nearby station.
H -- / L 43°
No rain expected in the next 12 hours
No recent station report. NWS hourly forecast updated 10/28/2026, 3:39 PM PT
Hourly forecast
NWS, updated 10/28/2026, 3:39 PM PT
Now47°
9 PM46°
10 PM45°
11 PM45°
12 AM45°Thu
1 AM45°
2 AM45°
3 AM45°
4 AM44°
5 AM44°
6 AM44°
7 AM44°
8 AM43°
9 AM47°
10 AM53°
11 AM58°
12 PM62°
1 PM65°
2 PM66°
3 PM67°
4 PM67°14%
5 PM66°18%
6 PM64°47%
7 PM60°52%
8 PM59°36%
9 PM58°36%
10 PM56°36%
11 PM56°
12 AM55°Fri
1 AM54°
2 AM52°
3 AM50°
4 AM49°
5 AM47°
6 AM46°
7 AM45°
8 AM45°
9 AM46°
10 AM49°
11 AM52°
12 PM54°
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3 PM55°
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5 PM54°
6 PM52°
7 PM49°
10-day forecast
Tap a day for details
Today10/28Low 43°High
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 43. Southeast wind 3 to 9 mph.
Mostly Clear
Thu10/2952% chance of precipitationLow 44°High 67°
Thursday: A slight chance of rain showers after 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 67. South wind 9 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Thursday Night: A chance of rain showers before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Southwest wind 7 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers
Fri10/30Low 34°High 56°
Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 56. West wind 8 to 12 mph.
Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. Northwest wind 2 to 7 mph.
Mostly Sunny
Sat10/31Low 34°High 52°
Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 52. West wind 1 to 6 mph.
Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 34. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Sunny
Sun11/1Low 40°High 57°
Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57. Southwest wind 2 to 6 mph.
Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Mostly Sunny
Mon11/212% chance of precipitationLow 41°High 58°
Monday: Partly sunny, with a high near 58.
Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41.
Partly Sunny
Tue11/332% chance of precipitationLow 42°High 58°
Tuesday: A slight chance of rain showers after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 58.
Tuesday Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Partly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers
Wed11/432% chance of precipitationLow High 58°
Wednesday: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 58.
Chance Rain Showers
Model blend
Thu11/5Model blend57% chance of precipitationLow 40°High 61°
Thursday: Chance of rain. High near 61°. Low that night near 40°. About 0.19 in of precipitation, with about 0.1 in of snow.
Computer model guidance from the NOAA National Blend of Models, not a forecast written by NWS forecasters. Expect changes this far out.
Fri11/6Model blend50% chance of precipitationLow 33°High 57°
Friday: Chance of rain. High near 57°. Low that night near 33°. About 0.22 in of precipitation.
Computer model guidance from the NOAA National Blend of Models, not a forecast written by NWS forecasters. Expect changes this far out.
Days 9 to 10: NOAA National Blend of Models, station KART (Watertown Intl, 16 mi), model run 10/28/2026, 4:00 PM EDT
Hazardous weather outlookIssued 10/28/2026, 2:21 AM EDT
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake Ontario, western and north central New York.
Day one
Today and tonight.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
Days two through seven
Thursday through Tuesday.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf
2)A brief shot of light rain Thursday night. Dry weather then resumes and lasts through the weekend.
Discussion
KEY MESSAGE 1: Record warmth possible on Thursday.
High pressure will continue to drift east of New England tonight through Thursday, with deep southwesterly flow in its wake transporting unseasonable warmth into the eastern Great Lakes. Highs will reach the low to mid 70s for lower elevations. With the expected warmth, some records may fall or be tied. See the climate section of the AFD below for the current record highs for October 30th.
Additionally, winds will strengthen Thursday as a 35 to 45 knot low level jet moves over the eastern Great Lakes. Poor low level lapse rates will prevent full mixing of stronger winds from aloft, but channeling down Lake Erie may still support gusts of 30-40 mph across the Niagara Frontier in the afternoon. Gusts of 20 to 30 mph are expected elsewhere.
KEY MESSAGE 2: A brief shot of light rain Thursday night. Dry weather then resumes and lasts through the weekend.
A weak cold front nears the region Thursday, then crosses the eastern Great Lakes Thursday night. This system is moisture starved, but may have just enough forcing and moisture convergence to squeeze out a brief period of light showers. In terms of precipitation, amounts look very meager with only a few hundredths of an inch at best possible across Western and Central NY. Showers will exit before daybreak Friday, with high pressure then building back into the region later Friday through the weekend with another extended stretch of dry weather.
Aviation
VFR will prevail tonight through Thursday as strong high pressure drifts east of New England. A cold front will move into the central Great Lakes Thursday morning, then cross the eastern Great Lakes Thursday evening. Mid/high clouds will increase Thursday afternoon ahead of the front, but any showers will hold off until early evening with VFR continuing to prevail.
Winds will increase ahead of the front Thursday as a belt of 35 to 45 knot southwesterly flow aloft moves over the eastern Great Lakes. Poor low level lapse rates will prevent full mixing, but still expect gusts of 15 to 25 knots for much of the area, and 25 to 35 knots across the Niagara Frontier northeast of Lake Erie.
Outlook:
Thursday night: A few showers likely. Areas of MVFR CIGS with IFR possible across higher terrain.
Friday: Areas of MVFR CIGS early, improving to VFR in the afternoon.
Saturday through Monday: VFR.
Marine
Southwest winds will strengthen on the western flank of the departed ridge Thursday ahead of the approaching cold front. Small Craft conditions are likely to develop across portions of the lower Great Lakes later Thursday afternoon along and ahead of the front as southwest winds increase further.
Winds will veer to the northwest Thursday night through Friday behind the cold front. Small Craft Advisory conditions will likely continue for eastern portions of the lower Great Lakes, especially in the nearshore zones east of Hamlin Beach.
Fire weather
No measurable rain has fallen for nearly two weeks (10 days) in most of our region. The extended period of dry weather and sunshine has cured fine fuels and leaf litter, bringing some increase in wildfire risk. Luckily, the forecast does not show a significant overlap of strong, gusty winds and low relative humidity values through this weekend.
A weak cold front and weather disturbance should generate light and periodic rain showers Thursday eve-night, but resulting rainfall amounts should be less than 0.10". Dry weather will then follow Friday and last through the weekend. As a result, fine fuels and leaf litter should remain very dry.
Climate
Here are the record high temperatures for Thursday, October 30th.
Buffalo, NY 74 (1971)
Rochester, NY 76 (1896)
Watertown, NY 73 (1955)
Watches, warnings and advisories
NY: None. MARINE: None.
From the National Weather Service; may be delayed. Not for life-safety decisions. In an emergency, call 911.
Next 6 hours
NWS hourly forecast
Now47°Partly Cloudy1%3 mph
9 PM46°Partly Cloudy1%3 mph
10 PM45°Partly Cloudy1%3 mph
11 PM45°Mostly Clear1%5 mph
12 AM45°Mostly Clear1%6 mph
1 AM45°Mostly Clear1%7 mph
Hourly details
Next 7 days: temperature chart, feels like, rain and snow amounts, sky cover, wind and gustsShowHide
Will it rain in Clayton, NY 13624 in the next 24 hours?
The hourly forecast shows a 52% chance of precipitation around 10/29/2026, 7:00 PM EDT.
What is the 10-day forecast for Clayton, NY 13624?
The first 8 days come from the National Weather Service forecast. Days 9 to 10 (Nov 5 to Nov 6) come from the NOAA National Blend of Models, with highs of 57°F to 61°F and up to a 57% chance of precipitation. Model guidance this far out often changes.
What time is sunrise and sunset in Clayton, NY 13624 today?
Sunrise is about 7:36 AM EDT and sunset is about 5:59 PM EDT (calculated for the center of the area, within a few minutes).
What is the normal October weather in Clayton, NY 13624?
At Watertown INTL AP, the 1991 to 2020 normal high in October is 58°F and the normal low is 39°F.
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