Metuchen, NJ 08840 Weather

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Maryland.

Day one

Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

Days two through seven

Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

Spotter information statement

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

What has changed

Frost Advisory issued for portions of SE PA and S NJ where the growing season continues. Otherwise, no significant changes to the forecast.

Small Craft Advisory extended through 6 AM EDT this morning.

Key messages

1. Some areas of frost tonight. Otherwise, generally tranquil weather is expected to prevail through the early portion of next week.

2. Rain is expected to return late next week.

Discussion

KEY MESSAGE 1: Some areas of frost tonight. Otherwise, generally tranquil weather is expected to prevail through the early portion of next week.

High pressure will remain in place within the vicinity of our area through the middle of next week with continuing mild and dry conditions expected.

Cooler, more seasonable weather is expected for the weekend. Highs will be coolest today, in the upper 50s to low 60s, under partly cloudy skies. Partly to mostly cloudy skies from high cloud cover expected Sunday, but a bit milder with highs in the low to mid 60s.

Lows tonight and Sunday night will be mainly in the low 30s to low 40s. There is increasing probability for some frost development both nights, especially for the remaining PA and NJ zones where the growing season remains active (save for Philly and DelCo). Temperatures should fall quickly during the evening into the upper 30s and low 40s as winds decouple with the high pressure center nearby, then continue slowly falling overnight. We do anticipate thickening cirrus late tonight, which should help put the brakes on runaway radiational cooling. Nevertheless, some ares of frost development may certainly still occur in the usual colder locales prior to the thicker cloud cover arriving. Opted to go with a Frost Advisory tonight for most of the remaining PA and NJ active zones. Some patchy frost is possible across interior Delmarva as well, but dewpoints and temperatures are forecast to be a few degrees warmer there than farther north.

Scattered to broken high cloud cover will persist into early next week despite surface high pressure. Temperatures are expected to increase back to above normal values early next week, with highs in the mid 60s to low 70s and milder overnights (no frost/freeze potential).

KEY MESSAGE 2: Rain is expected to return late next week.

The stretch of dry weather is expected to come to an end late next week. It appears increasingly likely that a period or periods of rainfall will move into the area as a storm system affects the region Thursday through at least Friday. Early in the week, a cold front will be moving across the central part of the country. The parent low moves across the Great Lakes and into Canada later in the week, while a secondary low develops and moves into the southern states by mid week. This low is expected to strengthen as it moves into the Mid Atlantic and northeast states later in the week, bringing our area a likely window to end our dry streak. At this time, this appears to be just a beneficial rainfall event with no significant weather hazards anticipated.

Aviation

The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Through 12Z: VFR. North to northwest winds near 5 kts. High confidence.

Today: VFR. North to northwest winds increasing to around 10 kts early, then diminishing to 5 kts or less late. High confidence.

Tonight: VFR. Northerly winds less than 5 kts to calm. High confidence.

Outlook:

Sunday through Wednesday: VFR. No significant weather.

Marine

The Small Craft Advisory was extended through 6 AM for most of the Atlantic coastal waters of New Jersey and Delaware, and lower Delaware Bay. Northerly winds remain near 15 kts with gusts up to 25 kts and seas near 4-5 feet in the advisory area.

Northerly winds and seas will continue to lessen through the predawn hours. Winds will remain near 10-15 kts across the waters through the remainder of today, weakening toward evening and overnight with fair weather expected.

Outlook:

Sunday through Tuesday: No marine hazards expected. Fair weather.

Wednesday: Winds and seas may build close to advisory levels, especially overnight.

Watches, warnings and advisories

PA: Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM EDT Sunday for PAZ102-104-106. NJ: Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM EDT Sunday for NJZ016>018-021-023. DE: None. MD: None. MARINE: Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT early this morning for ANZ431-451>455.