Door County, WI Weather

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north-central and northeast Wisconsin.

Day one: Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

Days two through seven: Tuesday through Monday

A few non-severe thunderstorms are possible Wednesday evening into early Thursday morning.

Spotter information statement

Spotter activation will not be needed tonight.

Forecast discussion for routine afternoon forecast issuance

Key messages

- Scattered showers for the remainder of the afternoon into tonight. Rain chance 40-80%, highest across central and north- central WI. Rain lingers across the north (20-50% chance) on Tuesday morning.

- Another round of rain and a few storms Wednesday night. Rain chance (50-90%), highest across central and north-central WI. Severe weather is not expected.

- Temperatures will return a few degrees above normal Tuesday, then well above normal temperatures into the weekend.

- Hazardous conditions begin on Lake Michigan south of Two Rivers this afternoon, and then overspread the rest of the nearshore waters and possibly the bay of Green Bay Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday.

Discussion

Issued at 130 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

After a week of above normal temperatures, temperatures this afternoon were close to normal for late October with readings in the middle 40s to middle 50s. Regional radars were indicating scattered showers across north-central and central WI westward into southwest and west-central WI.

Low pressure across the central plains will move northeast into Minnesota late tonight, then to western Lake Superior Tuesday afternoon. Weak 850mb and a weak impulse were producing the showers across Wisconsin early this afternoon. The scattered showers will continue for the rest of the afternoon into tonight, with rain chances at 40-80% with the highest across central and north-central WI. The showers should come to an end Tuesday across the north as the system pulls away from the area.

Southerly winds will bring in warmer temps on Tuesday, with some of the warmest temperatures this week on Wednesday where highs should reach the upper 60s to middle 70s. A cold front will bring another round of showers and a few thunderstorms (rain chance 50-80%) Wednesday night. Slightly cooler, but still well above normal temperatures are expected on Thursday. A few showers may linger into the morning hours on Thursday, otherwise high pressure will build into the region. Dry conditions will prevail Thursday night into Friday morning before the next chance of rain arrives Friday afternoon. It appears the upcoming weekend will be unsettled with chances of rain throughout the weekend. It will be mild with readings well into the 50s to lower to middle 60s. It should be noted the normal high for November 1st is around 50 degrees across the area, and will also be the day we set the clocks back one hour as we switch to Central Standard Time.

Aviation

for 18Z TAF Issuance Issued at 1148 AM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

Despite scattered showers across the north this afternoon into this evening, VFR conditions will prevail. The scattered showers will continue overnight across northern Wisconsin, however MVFR or IFR CIGS are expected to develop across north-central and far northeast Wisconsin after 04-05z. The low CIGS will linger into Tuesday morning before lifting into the VFR category. Northerly winds today will veer to the east tonight, then southeast on Tuesday.

Watches, warnings and advisories

None.