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Toco, TX Weather

It is 54°F in Toco, TX, observed at 7:45 AM CDT. Today: Partly Sunny, high 83°F, low 62°F. Hourly and 10-day forecast from the National Weather Service. Times are local (CDT).

Toco, TX current weather

54°F

Sunny

H 83° / L 62°Feels like 54°

  • No rain expected in the next 12 hours

Observed at Paris / Cox Field (11.5 mi away), 10/28/2026, 7:45 AM CDT

Hourly forecast

NWS, updated 10/28/2026, 5:31 AM PT

  1. Now56°
  2. 9 AM59°
  3. 10 AM67°
  4. 11 AM72°
  5. 12 PM76°
  6. 1 PM79°
  7. 2 PM80°
  8. 3 PM81°
  9. 4 PM82°
  10. 5 PM83°
  11. 6 PM81°
  12. 7 PM78°
  13. 8 PM74°
  14. 9 PM70°
  15. 10 PM68°
  16. 11 PM67°
  17. Thu12 AM67°
  18. 1 AM66°
  19. 2 AM65°
  20. 3 AM65°
  21. 4 AM64°
  22. 5 AM63°
  23. 6 AM63°
  24. 7 AM63°
  25. 8 AM62°
  26. 9 AM66°
  27. 10 AM72°
  28. 11 AM77°
  29. 12 PM79°
  30. 1 PM82°
  31. 2 PM83°
  32. 3 PM83°
  33. 4 PM85°
  34. 5 PM83°
  35. 6 PM82°
  36. 7 PM79°
  37. 8 PM74°
  38. 9 PM72°
  39. 10 PM70°
  40. 11 PM69°
  41. Fri12 AM69°
  42. 1 AM68°
  43. 2 AM67°
  44. 3 AM66°
  45. 4 AM65°
  46. 5 AM65°
  47. 6 AM64°
  48. 7 AM63°

10-day forecast

Tap a day for details

  • Today10/28Low 62°High 83°

    Today: Partly sunny, with a high near 83. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. South southeast wind around 5 mph.

    Partly Sunny
  • Thu10/29Low 63°High 85°

    Thursday: Partly sunny. High near 85, with temperatures falling to around 83 in the afternoon. South wind around 5 mph.

    Thursday Night: Cloudy. Low around 63, with temperatures rising to around 65 overnight. Southeast wind around 5 mph.

    Partly Sunny
  • Fri10/3039% chance of precipitationLow 58°High 77°

    Friday: Cloudy. High near 77, with temperatures falling to around 74 in the afternoon. East southeast wind around 5 mph.

    Friday Night: A chance of rain showers after 7pm. Cloudy. Low around 58, with temperatures rising to around 60 overnight. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Cloudy
  • Sat10/3166% chance of precipitationLow 57°High 76°

    Saturday: A chance of rain showers before 1pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. South southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Saturday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. East wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
  • Sun11/129% chance of precipitationLow 59°High 79°

    Sunday: Partly sunny, with a high near 79. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.

    Sunday Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Partly Sunny
  • Mon11/255% chance of precipitationLow 58°High 80°

    Monday: A chance of rain showers before noon, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
  • Tue11/338% chance of precipitationLow 50°High 75°

    Tuesday: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 75. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Tuesday Night: A slight chance of rain showers before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Chance Rain Showers
  • Wed11/4Model blendLow 47°High 72°

    Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High near 72°. Low that night near 47°. About 0.01 in of precipitation.

    Computer model guidance from the NOAA National Blend of Models, not a forecast written by NWS forecasters. Expect changes this far out.

  • Thu11/5Model blendLow 47°High 73°

    Thursday: Mostly sunny. High near 73°. Low that night near 47°.

    Computer model guidance from the NOAA National Blend of Models, not a forecast written by NWS forecasters. Expect changes this far out.

  • Fri11/6Model blendLow High 73°

    Friday: Mostly sunny. High near 73°. About 0.05 in of precipitation.

    Computer model guidance from the NOAA National Blend of Models, not a forecast written by NWS forecasters. Expect changes this far out.

Forecast for 33.655, -95.649 from the NWS FWD office, updated 10/28/2026, 5:31 AM PT · Official forecast on weather.gov

Days 8 to 10: NOAA National Blend of Models, station KPRX (Paris/Cox Fld, 11 mi), model run 10/27/2026, 6:00 PM CDT

Forecaster's discussionIssued 10/28/2026, 5:50 AM CDT

: New AVIATION:

Key messages

- Above normal temperatures will continue through Thursday.

- Isolated showers and storms (20% chance) are possible near and south of I-20 today.

- Higher rain chances and slightly cooler temperatures are expected from late Thursday through Saturday.

Short term

(Tonight through Thursday) Issued at 1152 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

A warm/moist advection regime will remain in place today, sending a swath of low stratus and perhaps even some fog into parts of Central Texas later this morning. While zonal flow will prevail aloft devoid of any meaningful ascent, warm/moist advection should be sufficient to result in isolated coverage of showers and perhaps even a thunderstorm mainly south of I-20 during the daytime today. Coverage is likely to only be around 20% or less. Increasing cloud cover may shave a couple degrees off of afternoon highs, but they will still be soundly above normal in the upper 70s and lower 80s. It will also be increasingly and unseasonably humid as surface dewpoints climb into the 60s later today.

The onset of subtle mid-level shortwave ridging should largely eliminate rain chances from this evening into Thursday morning before our next chance for rain begins Thursday afternoon/evening. An unseasonably warm/humid airmass will remain in place while upper troughing deepens across the western CONUS, allowing a strengthening subtropical jet streak to impinge on the area. Widespread mid/high cloud cover should begin streaming into the western half of the area by Thursday afternoon, with showers becoming increasingly likely late in the day. PoPs will be capped at roughly 30% through the daytime before the peak rain chances arrive in the long term forecast period.

Long term

(Thursday night through next Tuesday) Issued at 1152 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

Remnants of a Pacific tropical system will phase with broad troughing already in place heading into Friday, and this will lead to rain chances to end the workweek and begin the weekend. In comparison to previous forecasts, overall rain chances and expected amounts have both decreased slightly, with the trajectory of this system trending increasingly north/northwest of the forecast area. Areas near/west of I-35 will experience scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms on an intermittent basis from Thursday night through Saturday as this system gradually ejects into the Central Plains, but coverage of measurable rainfall may be much more scant east of the I-35 corridor. Either way, this system's presence will make for a mostly cloudy and therefore slightly cooler start to the weekend with highs in the mid/upper 70s. An overall lack of instability should keep occurrences of thunder rather scarce, and this system will only really consist of beneficial rainfall for the lucky locations that manage to receive some. Most of this activity should be on a downward trend by Saturday evening, keeping the majority of Halloween evening activities unaffected.

A much more potent storm system is still on track to take hold of the central CONUS by early next week. Following a likely rain- free Sunday, this rapidly deepening system could send a cold front through the forecast area sometime Monday or early Tuesday, which would be accompanied by additional chances for showers and storms. The finer details of this system will become clearer in the next few days, but at a minimum, a decent fall frontal passage is looking increasingly likely during the first half of next week.

Aviation

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 541 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

MVFR stratus has surged northward during the past couple of hours, and is now expected to encroach on D10 airports for at least a couple of hours this morning. A short Tempo group has been introduced to include cigs near 2 kft, with uncertainty in the longevity of these conditions. For Waco, IFR cig heights will be possible for the next couple of hours, but should lift to MVFR heights fairly quickly after daybreak. Lifting/scattering to VFR at all airports is expected by mid to late morning. While a few rain showers are possible mainly in Central Texas this afternoon, the expected coverage is too low to warrant any precip mention in the TAFs at this time. A south/southeast wind around 10 kt will prevail through the duration of the forecast period.

Spotter information statement

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Preliminary point temps/pops

Dallas-Ft. Worth 83 66 83 66 / 10 10 10 20 Waco 83 64 82 63 / 20 10 20 20 Paris 83 62 85 63 / 0 0 0 0 Denton 82 63 83 62 / 10 10 10 20 McKinney 81 63 83 63 / 10 10 0 10 Dallas 83 67 84 66 / 10 10 10 20 Terrell 82 63 84 63 / 10 10 0 10 Corsicana 82 64 83 65 / 20 10 10 20 Temple 84 64 82 63 / 30 10 20 20 Mineral Wells 82 62 82 61 / 10 10 30 40

Watches, warnings and advisories

None.

From the National Weather Service; may be delayed. Not for life-safety decisions. In an emergency, call 911.

Next 6 hours

NWS hourly forecast

  1. Now56°Sunny1%5 mph
  2. 9 AM59°Mostly Sunny1%5 mph
  3. 10 AM67°Mostly Sunny2%5 mph
  4. 11 AM72°Mostly Sunny2%5 mph
  5. 12 PM76°Partly Sunny2%10 mph
  6. 1 PM79°Partly Sunny0%10 mph

Hourly details

Next 7 days: temperature chart, feels like, rain and snow amounts, sky cover, wind and gustsShow
50°70°90°0%100%WedThuFriSatSunMonTue83°56°85°62°75°63°75°59°79°60°79°61°75°59°

Line: temperature °F. Bars: chance of precipitation.

  1. WedNow56° 1% Sky 20%5
  2.  9 AM59° 1% Sky 27%5
  3.  10 AM67° 2% Sky 42%5
  4.  11 AM72° 2% Sky 48%5g12
  5.  12 PM76° 2% Sky 52%10
  6.  1 PM79° 0% Sky 57%10g15
  7.  2 PM80° 0% Sky 61%10g16
  8.  3 PM81° 0% Sky 65%10g16
  9.  4 PM82° 2% Sky 66%10g16
  10.  5 PM83° 2% Sky 69%10g15
  11.  6 PM81° 2% Sky 68%5g12
  12.  7 PM78° 0% Sky 68%5
  13.  8 PM74° 0% Sky 68%5
  14.  9 PM70° 0% Sky 67%5
  15.  10 PM68° 1% Sky 59%5
  16.  11 PM67° 1% Sky 50%5
  17. Thu 10/2912 AM67° 1% Sky 42%5
  18.  1 AM66° 1% Sky 33%5
  19.  2 AM65° 1% Sky 38%5
  20.  3 AM65° 1% Sky 41%5
  21.  4 AM64° 1% Sky 44%5
  22.  5 AM63° 1% Sky 50%5
  23.  6 AM63° 1% Sky 51%5
  24.  7 AM63° 0% Sky 57%5
  25.  8 AM62° 0% Sky 62%5
  26.  9 AM66° 0% Sky 64%5
  27.  10 AM72° 0% Sky 61%5
  28.  11 AM77° 0% Sky 69%5
  29.  12 PM79° 0% Sky 67%5
  30.  1 PM82° 0% Sky 59%5g12
  31.  2 PM83° 0% Sky 44%5g12
  32.  3 PM83° 0% Sky 46%5g12
  33.  4 PM85° 1% Sky 53%5g12
  34.  5 PM83° 1% Sky 58%5g10
  35.  6 PM82° 1% Sky 72%5
  36.  7 PM79° 2% Sky 78%5
  37.  8 PM74° 2% Sky 93%5
  38.  9 PM72° 2% Sky 90%5
  39.  10 PM70° 2% Sky 87%5
  40.  11 PM69° 2% Sky 88%5
  41. Fri 10/3012 AM69° 2% Sky 88%5
  42.  1 AM68° 1% Sky 89%5
  43.  2 AM67° 1% Sky 91%5
  44.  3 AM66° 1% Sky 94%5
  45.  4 AM65° 1% Sky 96%5
  46.  5 AM65° 1% Sky 96%5
  47.  6 AM64° 1% Sky 95%5
  48.  7 AM63° 2% Sky 95%5
  49.  8 AM65° 2% Sky 93%5
  50.  9 AM67° 2% Sky 92%5
  51.  10 AM69° 2% Sky 90%5g10
  52.  11 AM71° 2% Sky 88%5g12
  53.  12 PM73° 2% Sky 86%5g13
  54.  1 PM75° 4% Sky 83%5g14
  55.  2 PM75° 4% Sky 83%5g14
  56.  3 PM75° 4% Sky 83%5g14
  57.  4 PM75° 4% Sky 82%5g14
  58.  5 PM74° 4% Sky 84%5g13
  59.  6 PM72° 4% Sky 86%5g12
  60.  7 PM70° 15% Sky 88%5g10
  61.  8 PM68° 15% Sky 89%5g10
  62.  9 PM67° 15% Sky 89%5
  63.  10 PM65° 15% Sky 89%5
  64.  11 PM64° 15% Sky 88%5
  65. Sat 10/3112 AM63° 15% Sky 87%5
  66.  1 AM62° 39%0.01"Sky 86%5
  67.  2 AM61° 39%0.01"Sky 87%5
  68.  3 AM61° 39%0.01"Sky 88%5
  69.  4 AM60° 39%0.01"Sky 89%5
  70.  5 AM60° 39%0.01"Sky 89%5
  71.  6 AM60° 39%0.01"Sky 89%5
  72.  7 AM59° 48%0.01"Sky 89%5
  73.  8 AM61° 48%0.01"Sky 89%5g10
  74.  9 AM64° 48%0.01"Sky 88%5g10
  75.  10 AM66° 48%0.01"Sky 88%5g12
  76.  11 AM68° 48%0.01"Sky 85%5g12
  77.  12 PM70° 48%0.01"Sky 81%5g13
  78.  1 PM73° 66%0.01"Sky 78%5g13
  79.  2 PM73° 66%0.01"Sky 78%5g13
  80.  3 PM74° 66%0.01"Sky 77%5g13
  81.  4 PM75° 66%0.01"Sky 76%5g13
  82.  5 PM74° 66%0.01"Sky 77%5g12
  83.  6 PM72° 66%0.01"Sky 77%5
  84.  7 PM71° 19%0.01"Sky 77%5
  85.  8 PM68° 19%0.01"Sky 77%5
  86.  9 PM66° 19%0.01"Sky 77%5
  87.  10 PM64° 19%0.01"Sky 77%5
  88.  11 PM63° 19%0.01"Sky 77%5
  89. Sun 11/112 AM62° 19%0.01"Sky 77%5
  90.  1 AM62° 15% Sky 52%0g5
  91.  1 AM62° 15% Sky 52%0g5
  92.  2 AM61° 15% Sky 52%0g5
  93.  3 AM61° 15% Sky 52%0g5
  94.  4 AM60° 15% Sky 52%0g5
  95.  5 AM60° 15% Sky 52%0g5
  96.  6 AM60° 7% Sky 56%0g5
  97.  7 AM62° 7% Sky 56%0g6
  98.  8 AM64° 7% Sky 56%5
  99.  9 AM67° 7% Sky 56%5
  100.  10 AM70° 7% Sky 56%5
  101.  11 AM73° 7% Sky 56%5
  102.  12 PM76° 12% Sky 49%5
  103.  1 PM78° 12% Sky 49%5g10
  104.  2 PM79° 12% Sky 49%5g10
  105.  3 PM79° 12% Sky 49%5g10
  106.  4 PM78° 12% Sky 49%5
  107.  5 PM76° 12% Sky 49%5
  108.  6 PM73° 20%0.03"Sky 50%5
  109.  7 PM70° 20%0.03"Sky 50%5
  110.  8 PM68° 20%0.03"Sky 50%5
  111.  9 PM66° 20%0.03"Sky 50%5
  112.  10 PM65° 20%0.03"Sky 50%5
  113.  11 PM64° 20%0.03"Sky 50%5
  114. Mon 11/212 AM64° 29%0.03"Sky 69%5
  115.  1 AM63° 29%0.03"Sky 69%5
  116.  2 AM63° 29%0.03"Sky 69%5
  117.  3 AM62° 29%0.03"Sky 69%5g10
  118.  4 AM61° 29%0.03"Sky 69%5g12
  119.  5 AM61° 29%0.03"Sky 69%10
  120.  6 AM62° 44%0.05"Sky 76%10g16
  121.  7 AM64° 44%0.05"Sky 76%10g20
  122.  8 AM67° 44%0.05"Sky 76%15g23
  123.  9 AM70° 44%0.05"Sky 76%15g25
  124.  10 AM73° 44%0.05"Sky 76%15g26
  125.  11 AM75° 44%0.05"Sky 76%15g28
  126.  12 PM77° 55%0.04"Sky 67%15g28
  127.  1 PM78° 55%0.04"Sky 67%20g29
  128.  2 PM79° 55%0.04"Sky 67%20g30
  129.  3 PM79° 55%0.04"Sky 67%20g30
  130.  4 PM78° 55%0.04"Sky 67%20g29
  131.  5 PM76° 55%0.04"Sky 67%15g25
  132.  6 PM74° 43%0.03"Sky 44%15g23
  133.  7 PM71° 43%0.03"Sky 44%15g21
  134.  8 PM68° 43%0.03"Sky 44%15g20
  135.  9 PM66° 43%0.03"Sky 44%15
  136.  10 PM65° 43%0.03"Sky 44%10g17
  137.  11 PM64° 43%0.03"Sky 44%10g16
  138. Tue 11/312 AM63° 37%0.06"Sky 58%10g16
  139.  1 AM62° 37%0.06"Sky 58%10g16
  140.  2 AM61° 37%0.06"Sky 58%10g16
  141.  3 AM60° 37%0.06"Sky 58%10g17
  142.  4 AM59° 37%0.06"Sky 58%15
  143.  5 AM59° 37%0.06"Sky 58%15
  144.  6 AM59° 36%0.16"Sky 65%15g20
  145.  7 AM61° 36%0.16"Sky 65%15g22
  146.  8 AM63° 36%0.16"Sky 65%20g25
  147.  9 AM66° 36%0.16"Sky 65%20g28
  148.  10 AM69° 36%0.16"Sky 65%20g28
  149.  11 AM71° 36%0.16"Sky 65%20g28
  150.  12 PM73° 38%0.03"Sky 57%20g28
  151.  1 PM74° 38%0.03"Sky 57%20g29
  152.  2 PM75° 38%0.03"Sky 57%20g30
  153.  3 PM74° 38%0.03"Sky 57%20g30
  154.  4 PM73° 38%0.03"Sky 57%15g28
  155.  5 PM71° 38%0.03"Sky 57%15g23
  156.  6 PM68° 15% Sky 35%15g20

Temperature °F · chance of precipitation · amount in inches (T = trace) · sky cover · wind and gusts (g) in mph

NWS hourly forecast updated 10/28/2026, 5:31 AM PT

Radar and satellite

National radar

NEXRAD (last 50 min) and GOES

Latest

Rain and snow totals

Next 3 days, NWS forecast grid

Rain (liquid)
0.05 in
Snow
0.00 in
Ice
0.00 in

Nearby hazards

Texas hazards

Severe storm and flash flood outlooks, expected rain, river flooding and wildfires near this area

  • Severe storm outlook today:No thunderstorm risk area over this locationOutlook map
  • Excessive rainfall outlook (flash flood risk):Could not check the Weather Prediction Center outlook right now.
  • River gauges within 40 miles at or above flood stage: None reported
  • Active wildfires within 50 miles: Lake Fire (105 acres)

Drought

By county

Lamar County, week of 10/20/2026

100% of the county is in moderate drought or worse, 100% in extreme drought or worse.

Sun and moon

Local time, center of the area

Sunrise
7:38 AM
Sunset
6:34 PM
Daylight
10 hr 56 min
Moon
Waning Gibbous 94% lit
First light (civil dawn)
7:12 AM
Last light (civil dusk)
6:59 PM
Moonrise
8:15 PM
Moonset
10:30 AM

Normal October weather

Climate

Normal October high 78°, low 55°, precipitation 4.62 in for the month. 1991 to 2020 normals at Paris, 5 mi away.

Other places nearby

Data sources

See something wrong? Request a correction

Frequently asked questions

What is the weather in Toco, TX right now?
The latest observation from Paris / Cox Field was 54°F, reported at 10/28/2026, 7:45 AM CDT.
What is the high temperature today in Toco, TX?
The National Weather Service forecast for today calls for a high near 83°F. Partly Sunny.
Will it rain in Toco, TX in the next 24 hours?
The NWS hourly forecast does not show any hour with a 50% or higher chance of precipitation in the next 24 hours.
What is the 10-day forecast for Toco, TX?
The first 7 days come from the National Weather Service forecast. Days 8 to 10 (Nov 4 to Nov 6) come from the NOAA National Blend of Models, with highs of 72°F to 73°F. Model guidance this far out often changes.
What time is sunrise and sunset in Toco, TX today?
Sunrise is about 7:38 AM CDT and sunset is about 6:34 PM CDT (calculated for the center of the area, within a few minutes).
What is the normal October weather in Toco, TX?
At Paris, the 1991 to 2020 normal high in October is 78°F and the normal low is 55°F.

About this data

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