Driscoll, TX Weather

: New AVIATION:

Key messages

Issued at 624 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

- Minor coastal flooding threat continues during high tide through the weekend, with an increased rip current risk

- Medium rain chances over the Coastal Plains today shifts west over the Brush Country and Rio Grande Plains Thursday

- Another cold front expected around Tuesday

- Mild and dry for Halloween evening!

Discussion

Issued at 118 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

Low to medium rain chances will continue over the Coastal Plains today as another shortwave moves across the area. By Thursday, the remnants of Pacific Tropical Storm Vance will move into South Texas, with the highest moisture along the Rio Grande. This will shift medium rain chances over the Brush Country and Rio Grande Plains. WPC has placed the Brush Country under a Marginal Risk (level 1 out of 4) of excessive rainfall Thursday, with a Slight Risk (level 2 out of 4) extending into northwestern portions of the region. Locally heavy rainfall and isolated flash flooding will be possible, especially where storms become persistent or training develops. Isolated flooding and ponding will be possible in low lying poor drainage areas. However, uncertainty remains regarding the location and magnitude of the heaviest rainfall. Rain chances will diminish to low Friday into the weekend as the remnants move to the northeast. Fortunately, rain chances look like they will be out of the area by the evening Saturday night and we will remain dry through the rest of the weekend.

Another cold front is possible Tuesday, which could increase our rain chances once again. For now, we will continue to focus on the beneficial rain this week.

Minor coastal flooding remains a concern through much of the week as persistent onshore flow, elevated swell periods, and astronomical tides contribute to higher water levels during high tide. An increased risk of rip currents will also persist.

Aviation

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 624 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

Scattered showers indicated by radar are currently moving northwest from the coastal waters toward CRP and ALI. The activity is expected to continue to spread farther inland toward VCT later this morning and COT and LRD later this afternoon. Rain chances diminish across the eastern sites by this evening, but continue across the western TAF sites as convection moves in from Mexico overnight. Chances are low after 06Z, thus, did not include any mention of convection beyond that time. Have included PROB30 groups to account for the timing of convection at the different TAF sites with MVFR, possibly IFR, conditions at times. Outside of the convection, CIGs are expected to be at VFR levels, generally above 4kft. Gusty winds can be expected in and around the convection. Otherwise, east to southeast winds at 5-15 knots are forecasted.

Marine

Issued at 118 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

Gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) southeasterly flow will persist through much of the week, with seas generally 3 to 5 feet, occasionally reaching 6-7 feet offshore early Tuesday. Medium to high rain chances are expected through Wednesday, with lower chances Thursday and Friday. Locally higher winds and seas will be possible near thunderstorms.

Fire weather

Issued at 118 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

Abundant low-level moisture and winds generally below 20 knots will limit fire weather concerns through the forecast period. Showers and thunderstorms through the work week will continue to limit fire weather concerns.

Preliminary point temps/pops

Corpus Christi 84 70 83 70 / 30 10 10 0 Victoria 84 64 84 63 / 40 0 0 0 Laredo 89 70 84 68 / 10 10 30 30 Alice 86 68 83 67 / 20 10 10 10 Rockport 83 72 83 71 / 40 10 10 10 Cotulla 88 68 81 66 / 10 10 50 30 Kingsville 86 69 83 68 / 20 10 10 10 Navy Corpus 82 74 81 74 / 30 10 10 10

Watches, warnings and advisories

TX: Coastal Flood Advisory until 5 AM CDT Thursday for TXZ345-442- 443-447.

GM: None.