It is 72°F and clear in Elba, NY, observed at 1:40 PM EDT. Today: Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 74°F, low 46°F. Hourly and 7-day forecast from the National Weather Service. Times are local (EDT).
Observed at Genesee County Airport (3.3 mi away), 10/29/2026, 1:40 PM EDT
Hourly forecast
NWS, updated 10/29/2026, 10:32 AM PT
Now71°
2 PM72°
3 PM72°
4 PM71°
5 PM69°20%
6 PM67°29%
7 PM64°35%
8 PM62°48%
9 PM60°57%
10 PM60°37%
11 PM59°27%
12 AM58°15%Fri
1 AM57°
2 AM56°
3 AM53°
4 AM51°
5 AM48°
6 AM47°
7 AM46°
8 AM46°
9 AM48°
10 AM52°
11 AM53°
12 PM55°
1 PM56°
2 PM56°
3 PM57°
4 PM56°
5 PM56°
6 PM54°
7 PM50°
8 PM47°
9 PM45°
10 PM44°
11 PM44°
12 AM44°Sat
1 AM43°
2 AM42°
3 AM41°
4 AM40°
5 AM39°
6 AM37°
7 AM36°
8 AM37°
9 AM41°
10 AM47°
11 AM52°
12 PM55°
7-day forecast
Tap a day for details
Today10/2957% chance of precipitationLow 46°High 74°
This Afternoon: A slight chance of rain showers after 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 74. Southwest wind around 20 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tonight: A chance of rain showers before 9pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely between 9pm and 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. West wind 9 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Slight Chance Rain Showers
Fri10/30Low 36°High 57°
Friday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 57. West wind 10 to 14 mph.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. West wind 2 to 9 mph.
Mostly Cloudy
Sat10/31Low 37°High 58°
Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 58. West wind around 5 mph.
Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. South wind around 3 mph.
Mostly Sunny
Sun11/1Low 44°High 64°
Sunday: Partly sunny, with a high near 64. South wind around 5 mph.
Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. South wind around 5 mph.
Partly Sunny
Mon11/211% chance of precipitationLow 45°High 64°
Monday: Partly sunny, with a high near 64.
Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45.
Partly Sunny
Tue11/333% chance of precipitationLow 49°High 65°
Tuesday: A chance of rain showers after 7am. Partly sunny, with a high near 65. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Chance Rain Showers
Wed11/433% chance of precipitationLow 49°High 65°
Wednesday: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 65. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49.
Hazardous weather outlookIssued 10/28/2026, 2:21 AM EDT
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake Ontario, western and north central New York.
Day one
Today and tonight.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
Days two through seven
Thursday through Tuesday.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf
2)A chance of showers tonight. Dry weather then resumes Friday and lasts through the weekend.
Discussion
KEY MESSAGE 1: Record warmth possible today.
Mild, potentially record breaking (see climate section) and dry today ahead of an incoming cold front. Winds will pick up today as a strengthening low-level jet of 35 to 45 knot moves over the eastern Great Lakes. That said: poor low level lapse rates will prevent full mixing of stronger winds from aloft, but channeling down Lake Erie may still support gusts of 30-40 mph across the Niagara Frontier in the afternoon. Gusts of 20 to 30 mph are expected elsewhere. Otherwise: another mild day with Max T's peaking in the low to mid 70s.
KEY MESSAGE 2: A chance of showers tonight. Dry weather then resumes Friday and lasts through the weekend.
A weak cold front will begin to cross the eastern Great Lakes late this evening and tonight. Decent forcing and moisture convergence will likely support some showers and maybe even a rumble of thunder as guidance shows MUCAPE values of 150-200 J/kg. Precipitation wise, amounts look very meager with most spots only picking up a few hundredths of an inch, with localize higher amounts. Showers will exit before daybreak Friday, with high pressure then building back into the region later Friday through the weekend with another extended stretch of dry weather.
Aviation
Southwest winds gust 20-30kts today ahead of a cold front moving in from the northwest. Cold front brings showers with vis/ceilings down to MVFR generally after 23Z. Visibilities improve to VFR after showers exit to the southeast while ceilings linger in MVFR through sunrise Friday.
Outlook:
Friday: After MVFR ceilings dissolve/lift, VFR expected.
Saturday through Monday: VFR.
Marine
Southwest winds will pick up today ahead of a cold front nearing the Lower Lakes. Small Craft conditions are likely to develop on Lake Erie and the western portion of Lake America by this afternoon. Winds will veer to the northwest tonight through Friday behind the cold front. Small Craft Advisory conditions will continue for eastern portion of Lake America, especially in the nearshore zones east of Hamlin Beach. Winds and wave action will gradually subside Friday as high pressure begins to build in from the west. Light winds and waves expected Saturday as the surface high moves overhead.
Watches, warnings and advisories
NY: None. MARINE: Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Friday for LEZ040-041. Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EDT Friday for LOZ042. Small Craft Advisory from 2 AM to 11 PM EDT Friday for LOZ043>045.
From the National Weather Service; may be delayed. Not for life-safety decisions. In an emergency, call 911.
Next 6 hours
NWS hourly forecast
Now71°Mostly Sunny3%18 mph
2 PM72°Mostly Sunny5%18 mph
3 PM72°Mostly Sunny7%20 mph
4 PM71°Mostly Sunny9%20 mph
5 PM69°Slight Chance Rain Showers20%18 mph
6 PM67°Chance Rain Showers29%18 mph
Hourly details
Next 7 days: temperature chart, feels like, rain and snow amounts, sky cover, wind and gustsShowHide
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