Selfridge, ND Weather

Divide-Burke-Renville-Bottineau-Rolette-Williams-Mountrail- McHenry-Pierce-McKenzie-Dunn-Mercer-Oliver-Sheridan-Wells-Foster- Golden Valley-Billings-Stark-Burleigh-Kidder-Stutsman-Slope- Hettinger-Grant-Bowman-Adams-Emmons-Logan-La Moure-McIntosh- Dickey-Northwest Ward-Central and Southern Ward/Minot Area- Western McLean-Eastern McLean-Western Morton-Eastern Morton- Western Sioux-Eastern Sioux- 303 PM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026 /203 PM MDT Wed Oct 28 2026/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central North Dakota, northwest North Dakota, south central North Dakota, southeast North Dakota, and southwest North Dakota.

Day one: This Afternoon and Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

Days two through seven: Thursday through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

Spotter information statement

Spotters are asked to provide reports to the NWS using standard procedures, including through our social media accounts.

Key messages

- Rain likely today across parts of south central North Dakota, including the James River Valley.

- Slightly above average temperatures through the end of the workweek, becoming more noticeably above average this weekend and into early next week.

Update

Issued at 1255 PM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

Morning fog has now dissipated across the southcentral. A band of rain showers will move across these same areas early this afternoon, with clearing behind it. Warmer temperatures will accompany this clearing. Meanwhile, low clouds and cooler temps could linger across the north as a nearby low moves through. Overall made some minor adjustments based on current trends.

UPDATE Issued at 1014 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

Fog continues to linger across south central portions including parts of the James River Valley. Webcams showing some improvement currently, although there remains a few areas of 1/4 mile visibility. These are not as widespread as earlier this morning, thus let the Dense Fog Advisory expire. Did continue an SPS until noon for areas that are seeing lingering patchy, dense at times, fog. Otherwise some light rain is starting to develop in the south central. This will push eastward this morning and afternoon. Meanwhile abundant clouds in the northwest, central and east could impact high temperatures today. More so in the northwest where limited clearing is expected. Made slight adjustment to temps and pops based on these latest trends.

UPDATE Issued at 637 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

Visibility has deteriorated in Bismarck, Mandan, and the surrounding areas. Therefore, issued a Dense Fog Advisory until 10 am CDT for eastern Morton, eastern Sioux, Burleigh, and Emmons counties. Patchy dense fog likely persists east of Burleigh and Emmons County as well, though some improvement has been observed in the James River Valley. Therefore, also issued an SPS until 10 am CDT for counties directly east of the advisory, including those in the James River Valley.

Discussion

Issued at 304 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

Patchy fog early this morning could become locally dense at times in south central and southeastern North Dakota, though should improve by mid to late morning. Light precipitation will likely develop this morning and into the afternoon over south central North Dakota, including the James River Valley, as another shortwave slides through the Dakotas. In this case, thermal profiles will remain plenty warm to ensure precipitation falls in the form of rain. For the most part, rain should be light, though a narrow corridor of a tenth or two of an inch is possible. As this system moves off to the east, remaining low to mid-level stratus will also clear off from west to east.

Once any precipitation ends in the south central today, mostly dry conditions are expected through Friday night as dry, quasi- zonal flow aloft prevails through Friday. During this timeframe, an upper Pacific low off southwestern Canada will gradually churn towards the Pacific Northwest. By Friday night, flow aloft starts to become more southwesterly as this low gradually enters over the northwest CONUS and associated trough begins to amplify. Come Saturday, low rain chances begin to enter the forecast. However, models are starting to favor a slower progression that holds off more widespread rain chances until Sunday night into early next week. Furthermore, a split flow pattern is becoming more favored to develop, which would likely keep the heaviest precipitation south and possibly also north of the forecast area. Still, uncertainty remains in the evolution of this pattern, including what happens with a strong blocking high at the surface that will travel across the Northern Plains to finish out the workweek, and then through the Great Lakes Region and into the northeast CONUS this weekend.

High temperatures for the remainder of the week and into early next week are favored to become above average most days, for most locations. This translates to highs frequently ranging from the 40s north to 50s south to finish out the workweek, and mostly in the 50s everywhere this weekend. A few 60 degree readings are also possible at times mainly in the southern half of the state. Seasonable lows mostly in the 20s to low 30s are expected tonight through Thursday night, though will warm into the 30s and 40s for most locations by Saturday night.

Aviation

Issued at 1255 PM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

A band of rain and low clouds will bring MVFR conditions to southeastern portions this afternoon, including KJMS. Meanwhile, low clouds will linger across the north bringing MVFR ceilings including KXWA and KMOT. Elsewhere should see mainly VFR conditions today. Breezy northwest winds will also be found today. Tonight, light winds and generally VFR conditions are expected with perhaps some MVFR ceilings in the far north. Patchy fog may also return tonight into Thursday morning, although confidence was not high enough to include at this time. VFR conditions are then expected for Thursday.

Watches, warnings and advisories

None.