Shellman, GA Weather

: New AVIATION:

Key messages

Updated at 539 AM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026

- Fresh northeast breezes over the Gulf waters will continue to support a prolonged period of hazardous marine conditions through about Friday morning.

- Chances for showers and storms increase this weekend, particularly on Sunday.

Short term & long term

(Today through Tuesday) Issued at 224 AM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026

Ridging over the eastern US will keep things warm and dry through the next few days. It'll still be a tad breezy at times the next couple afternoons thanks to a squeeze play from broad high pressure to our north and low pressure over the Bahamas. But, this should weaken as well through the end of the week. Highs will be in the upper 70s to mid 80s, running about 5-7 degrees above average. Lows will also noticeably warm up into the 60s area-wide to round out the week.

Ridging breaks down and shifts eastward as a shortwave trough moves into the Southeast US. There are two rather distinct camps of solutions this weekend. The GFS and its ensemble system have a much more favorable setup for showers and storms, especially Sunday, with a stronger, deeper shortwave. The Euro and its ensemble system are much less robust and have generally less rain overall. The chances for rain do look to increase slightly Saturday, then much more on Sunday, regardless of which model ultimately wins out. The GFS camp would result in some potentially heavier rain and maybe a strong storm or two, whereas the European camp would be mostly showers. We still have several days to refine the details heading into early November.

Beyond this weekend, we'll likely have a somewhat more progressive pattern setting up with additional rain chances on the way thanks to troughing digging into the central and southern Plains. It will remain rather warm and muggy by late October/early November standards this weekend into early next week as well.

Aviation

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 539 AM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026

VFR today with mid and high-level clouds. Winds pickup late this morning out of the northeast generally around 10 kts gusting 15-20 kts at TLH, ECP, and VLD. Winds diminish close to sunset. There is sufficient confidence in MVFR cigs at VLD, TLH, and ABY generally after 06Z. MVFR cigs may reach ECP and DHN after 12Z Thursday.

Marine

Issued at 224 AM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026

Moderate to fresh northeasterly breezes continue through at least Thursday before turning easterly late Friday into the weekend. Small Craft Advisories continue for the central and western portions of our waters, and this may need to be extended into more of our western waters into the weekend. Seas remain around 3 to 6 feet. Rain chances will increase this weekend over the waters.

Fire weather

Issued at 224 AM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026

Northeasterly transport winds will remain around 15-20 mph today, and coupled with increasing mixing heights, high dispersions are possible in the Florida Big Bend with good dispersions elsewhere. Winds will gradually slacken Thursday into Friday, though good dispersions will persist. Rain chances hold off until this weekend.

Hydrology

Issued at 224 AM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026

Rainfall totals this weekend into early next week are forecast to be around 1 inch, though localized high end totals of 2 inches are possible. However, there is still some uncertainty in these totals given current model differences. Regardless, these rainfall amounts would not result in any significant flood concerns.

Spotter information statement

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

Preliminary point temps/pops

Tallahassee 81 64 84 64 / 0 0 0 0 Panama City 80 63 83 64 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 79 57 82 59 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 79 58 81 59 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 81 62 83 61 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 82 67 84 65 / 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 79 65 80 66 / 0 0 0 0

Watches, warnings and advisories

FL: None. GA: None. AL: None. GM: Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ Thursday for GMZ752-755-770-772-775.