What is the weather in Merced, CA right now?

The latest observation from Merced Regional Airport was 54°F and clear, reported at 10/27/2026, 10:25 PM PDT.

Will it rain in Merced, CA in the next 24 hours?

The NWS hourly forecast does not show any hour with a 50% or higher chance of precipitation in the next 24 hours.

What is the 10-day forecast for Merced, CA?

The first 8 days come from the National Weather Service forecast. Days 9 to 10 (Nov 4 to Nov 5) come from the NOAA National Blend of Models, with highs of 67°F to 68°F. Model guidance this far out often changes.

What time is sunrise and sunset in Merced, CA today?

Sunrise is about 7:21 AM PDT and sunset is about 6:09 PM PDT (calculated for the center of the area, within a few minutes).

What is the normal October weather in Merced, CA?

At Merced, the 1991 to 2020 normal high in October is 79°F and the normal low is 49°F.

Checked Oct 27, 2026

Merced, CA Weather

It is 54°F and clear in Merced, CA, observed at 10:25 PM PDT. Tonight: Mostly Clear, low 47°F. Hourly and 10-day forecast from the National Weather Service. Times are local (PDT).

Merced, CA current weather

54°F

Clear

H -- / L 47°Feels like 54°

No rain expected in the next 12 hours

Observed at Merced Regional Airport (1.5 mi away), 10/27/2026, 10:25 PM PDT

Hourly forecast

NWS, updated 10/27/2026, 9:56 PM PT

Now54°
11 PM53°
Wed12 AM52°
1 AM51°
2 AM50°
3 AM49°
4 AM48°
5 AM47°
6 AM48°
7 AM47°
8 AM48°
9 AM52°
10 AM56°
11 AM60°
12 PM63°
1 PM66°
2 PM68°
3 PM68°
4 PM69°
5 PM68°
6 PM66°
7 PM63°
8 PM59°
9 PM56°
10 PM54°
11 PM53°
Thu12 AM53°
1 AM52°
2 AM51°
3 AM50°
4 AM50°
5 AM49°
6 AM49°
7 AM49°
8 AM50°
9 AM53°
10 AM57°
11 AM61°
12 PM64°
1 PM67°
2 PM68°
3 PM69°
4 PM69°
5 PM68°
6 PM67°
7 PM64°
8 PM62°
9 PM60°

10-day forecast

Tap a day for details

Today10/27Low 47°High
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 47. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Mostly Clear
Wed10/28Low 49°High 69°
Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 69. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. North northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Sunny
Thu10/29Low 51°High 70°
Thursday: Partly sunny, with a high near 70. West southwest wind around 0 mph.
Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Northwest wind around 0 mph.
Partly Sunny
Fri10/3012% chance of precipitationLow 49°High 70°
Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. West northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 49. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Mostly Sunny
Sat10/3130% chance of precipitationLow 47°High 65°
Saturday: A chance of rain after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Saturday Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. North northwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Mostly Cloudy then Chance Light Rain
Sun11/119% chance of precipitationLow 45°High 65°
Sunday: A slight chance of rain before 10am. Sunny, with a high near 65. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45. North northwest wind 0 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Slight Chance Light Rain then Sunny
Mon11/2Low 49°High 68°
Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 68. Southwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 49. North wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly Sunny
Tue11/321% chance of precipitationLow High 70°
Tuesday: A slight chance of rain between 10am and 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Slight Chance Light Rain
Model blend
Wed11/4Model blend11% chance of precipitationLow 48°High 68°
Wednesday: Partly cloudy. High near 68°. Low that night near 48°.
Computer model guidance from the NOAA National Blend of Models, not a forecast written by NWS forecasters. Expect changes this far out.
Thu11/5Model blend18% chance of precipitationLow 49°High 67°
Thursday: Partly cloudy. High near 67°. Low that night near 49°. About 0.03 in of precipitation.
Computer model guidance from the NOAA National Blend of Models, not a forecast written by NWS forecasters. Expect changes this far out.

Forecast for 37.299, -120.488 from the NWS HNX office, updated 10/27/2026, 9:56 PM PT · Official forecast on weather.gov

Days 9 to 10: NOAA National Blend of Models, station KMCE (Merced/Macready Fld, 2 mi), model run 10/27/2026, 4:00 PM PDT

From the National Weather Service; may be delayed. Not for life-safety decisions. In an emergency, call 911.

Next 6 hours

NWS hourly forecast

Now54°Mostly Clear0%5 mph
11 PM53°Mostly Clear0%5 mph
12 AM52°Mostly Clear0%5 mph
1 AM51°Mostly Clear0%5 mph
2 AM50°Mostly Clear0%5 mph
3 AM49°Mostly Clear0%5 mph

Hourly details

Next 7 days: temperature chart, feels like, rain and snow amounts, sky cover, wind and gustsShow

Line: temperature °F. Bars: chance of precipitation.

TueNow54° 0% Sky 15%5
11 PM53° 0% Sky 21%5
Wed 10/2812 AM52° 0% Sky 16%5
1 AM51° 0% Sky 17%5
2 AM50° 0% Sky 12%5
3 AM49° 0% Sky 14%5
4 AM48° 0% Sky 22%5
5 AM47° 0% Sky 23%5
6 AM48° 0% Sky 26%5
7 AM47° 0% Sky 45%5
8 AM48° 0% Sky 35%5
9 AM52° 0% Sky 37%5g10
10 AM56° 0% Sky 16%5g12
11 AM60° 0% Sky 5%5g13
12 PM63° 0% Sky 2%5g13
1 PM66° 0% Sky 3%5g12
2 PM68° 0% Sky 10%5g12
3 PM68° 0% Sky 13%5g12
4 PM69° 0% Sky 12%5g10
5 PM68° 0% Sky 54%5
6 PM66° 0% Sky 54%5
7 PM63° 0% Sky 54%5
8 PM59° 0% Sky 77%0g5
9 PM56° 0% Sky 77%0g5
10 PM54° 0% Sky 77%0g5
11 PM53° 0% Sky 86%0
Thu 10/2912 AM53° 0% Sky 86%0
1 AM52° 0% Sky 86%0
2 AM51° 0% Sky 74%0
3 AM50° 0% Sky 74%0
4 AM50° 0% Sky 74%0
5 AM49° 0% Sky 57%0
6 AM49° 0% Sky 57%0
7 AM49° 0% Sky 57%0
8 AM50° 0% Sky 67%0
9 AM53° 0% Sky 67%0
10 AM57° 0% Sky 67%0
11 AM61° 0% Sky 64%0g5
12 PM64° 0% Sky 64%0g5
1 PM67° 0% Sky 64%0g5
2 PM68° 0% Sky 81%0g6
3 PM69° 0% Sky 81%0g6
4 PM69° 0% Sky 81%0g6
5 PM68° 0% Sky 81%0g5
6 PM67° 0% Sky 81%0g5
7 PM64° 0% Sky 81%0g5
8 PM62° 0% Sky 87%0
9 PM60° 0% Sky 87%0
10 PM58° 0% Sky 87%0
11 PM57° 0% Sky 84%0
Fri 10/3012 AM56° 0% Sky 84%0
1 AM56° 0% Sky 84%0
2 AM56° 0% Sky 84%0
3 AM55° 0% Sky 84%0
4 AM54° 0% Sky 84%0
5 AM53° 1% Sky 66%0g5
6 AM52° 1% Sky 66%0g5
7 AM51° 1% Sky 66%0g5
8 AM52° 1% Sky 67%0g5
9 AM56° 1% Sky 67%0g5
10 AM60° 1% Sky 67%0g5
11 AM64° 0% Sky 40%5
12 PM66° 0% Sky 40%5
1 PM68° 0% Sky 40%5
2 PM69° 0% Sky 31%5
3 PM70° 0% Sky 31%5
4 PM70° 0% Sky 31%5
5 PM68° 2% Sky 24%5
6 PM66° 2% Sky 24%5
7 PM63° 2% Sky 24%5
8 PM61° 2% Sky 24%5
9 PM59° 2% Sky 24%5
10 PM57° 2% Sky 24%5
11 PM55° 11% Sky 43%5
Sat 10/3112 AM54° 11% Sky 43%5
1 AM53° 11% Sky 43%5
2 AM52° 11% Sky 43%5
3 AM51° 11% Sky 43%5
4 AM50° 11% Sky 43%5
5 AM49° 12% Sky 70%5
6 AM49° 12% Sky 70%5
7 AM49° 12% Sky 70%5
8 AM50° 12% Sky 70%0g6
9 AM53° 12% Sky 70%0g6
10 AM56° 12% Sky 70%0g6
11 AM59° 13% Sky 71%5
12 PM61° 13% Sky 71%5
1 PM63° 13% Sky 71%5
2 PM64° 13% Sky 71%5
3 PM64° 13% Sky 71%5
4 PM64° 13% Sky 71%5
5 PM63° 30% Sky 79%5
6 PM61° 30% Sky 79%5
7 PM59° 30% Sky 79%5
8 PM57° 30% Sky 79%5
9 PM56° 30% Sky 79%5
10 PM55° 30% Sky 79%5
11 PM54° 30%0.02"Sky 61%5
Sun 11/112 AM53° 30%0.02"Sky 61%5
1 AM52° 30%0.02"Sky 61%5
1 AM51° 30%0.02"Sky 61%5
2 AM50° 30%0.02"Sky 61%5
3 AM50° 30%0.02"Sky 61%5
4 AM49° 19%0.01"Sky 43%5g12
5 AM48° 19%0.01"Sky 43%5g12
6 AM47° 19%0.01"Sky 43%5g12
7 AM48°Feels 45°19%0.01"Sky 43%5g16
8 AM50°Feels 47°19%0.01"Sky 43%5g16
9 AM54° 19%0.01"Sky 43%5g16
10 AM57° 11% Sky 18%10g18
11 AM60° 11% Sky 18%10g18
12 PM62° 11% Sky 18%10g18
1 PM63° 11% Sky 18%10g20
2 PM64° 11% Sky 18%10g20
3 PM64° 11% Sky 18%10g20
4 PM63° 3% Sky 12%10g18
5 PM61° 3% Sky 12%10g18
6 PM59° 3% Sky 12%10g18
7 PM56° 3% Sky 12%5
8 PM54° 3% Sky 12%5
9 PM52° 3% Sky 12%5
10 PM51° 3% Sky 12%0
11 PM50° 3% Sky 12%0
Mon 11/212 AM49° 3% Sky 12%0
1 AM48° 3% Sky 12%0
2 AM47° 3% Sky 12%0
3 AM46° 3% Sky 12%0
4 AM46° 1% Sky 18%0
5 AM45° 1% Sky 18%0
6 AM46° 1% Sky 18%0
7 AM47° 1% Sky 18%0
8 AM50° 1% Sky 18%0
9 AM55° 1% Sky 18%0
10 AM59° 0% Sky 23%0g6
11 AM62° 0% Sky 23%0g6
12 PM64° 0% Sky 23%0g6
1 PM65° 0% Sky 23%0g7
2 PM66° 0% Sky 23%0g7
3 PM67° 0% Sky 23%0g7
4 PM66° 2% Sky 38%5
5 PM64° 2% Sky 38%5
6 PM61° 2% Sky 38%5
7 PM58° 2% Sky 38%0
8 PM56° 2% Sky 38%0
9 PM55° 2% Sky 38%0
10 PM54° 2% Sky 46%0
11 PM53° 2% Sky 46%0
Tue 11/312 AM52° 2% Sky 46%0
1 AM51° 2% Sky 46%0
2 AM50° 2% Sky 46%0
3 AM49° 2% Sky 46%0
4 AM49° 6% Sky 51%0
5 AM50° 6% Sky 51%0
6 AM52° 6% Sky 51%0
7 AM54° 6% Sky 51%0g6
8 AM57° 6% Sky 51%0g6

Temperature °F · chance of precipitation · amount in inches (T = trace) · sky cover · wind and gusts (g) in mph

NWS hourly forecast updated 10/27/2026, 9:56 PM PT

Radar and satellite

National radar

NEXRAD (last 50 min) and GOES

Latest

Nearby hazards

California hazards

Severe storm and flash flood outlooks, expected rain, river flooding and wildfires near this area

Severe storm outlook today:No thunderstorm risk area over this locationOutlook map
Excessive rainfall outlook (flash flood risk):Could not check the Weather Prediction Center outlook right now.
River gauges within 40 miles at or above flood stage: None reported
Active wildfires within 50 miles: Could not check wildfire incidents right now.

UV and air quality forecast

EPA and AirNow

UV index today (Merced): 4Moderate

UV index guide · Air quality

Drought

By county

Merced County, week of 10/20/2026

20% of the county is abnormally dry. No drought.

Sun and moon

Local time, center of the area

Sunrise: 7:21 AM
Sunset: 6:09 PM
Daylight: 10 hr 48 min
Moon: Waning Gibbous 95% lit

First light (civil dawn): 6:55 AM
Last light (civil dusk): 6:36 PM
Moonrise: 6:54 PM
Moonset: 9:13 AM

Normal October weather

Climate

Normal October high 79°, low 49°, precipitation 0.73 in for the month. 1991 to 2020 normals at Merced, 2 mi away.

Other places nearby

Data sources

National Weather Service APINOAA
National Blend of Models (NBM) text guidanceNOAA National Weather Service
Convective Outlooks and Storm ReportsNOAA Storm Prediction Center
Excessive Rainfall Outlook and Quantitative Precipitation ForecastsNOAA Weather Prediction Center
National Water Prediction ServiceNOAA National Weather Service
WFIGS Current Wildland Fire IncidentsNational Interagency Fire Center
UV Index Forecast (Envirofacts)U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and NOAA
AirNowU.S. Environmental Protection Agency
NWS HeatRisk (experimental)NOAA National Weather Service
U.S. Drought MonitorNational Drought Mitigation Center, USDA and NOAA
BEACON 2.0 Beach Advisory and Closing On-line NotificationU.S. Environmental Protection Agency
U.S. Climate Normals 1991-2020NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information
Tides & Currents (CO-OPS API)NOAA Center for Operational Oceanographic Products and Services
NEXRAD radar tilesIowa Environmental Mesonet, Iowa State University
GOES-East and GOES-West GeoColor imageryNOAA NESDIS Center for Satellite Applications and Research

See something wrong? Request a correction

Frequently asked questions

What is the weather in Merced, CA right now?: The latest observation from Merced Regional Airport was 54°F and clear, reported at 10/27/2026, 10:25 PM PDT.
Will it rain in Merced, CA in the next 24 hours?: The NWS hourly forecast does not show any hour with a 50% or higher chance of precipitation in the next 24 hours.
What is the 10-day forecast for Merced, CA?: The first 8 days come from the National Weather Service forecast. Days 9 to 10 (Nov 4 to Nov 5) come from the NOAA National Blend of Models, with highs of 67°F to 68°F. Model guidance this far out often changes.
What time is sunrise and sunset in Merced, CA today?: Sunrise is about 7:21 AM PDT and sunset is about 6:09 PM PDT (calculated for the center of the area, within a few minutes).
What is the normal October weather in Merced, CA?: At Merced, the 1991 to 2020 normal high in October is 79°F and the normal low is 49°F.

About this data

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